{"id":10551,"date":"2022-09-26T00:34:43","date_gmt":"2022-09-26T05:34:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=10551"},"modified":"2022-09-26T00:41:16","modified_gmt":"2022-09-26T05:41:16","slug":"despues-de-10-anos-gana-la-ultraderecha-regresa-a-italia-con-meloni","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2022\/09\/26\/despues-de-10-anos-gana-la-ultraderecha-regresa-a-italia-con-meloni\/","title":{"rendered":"Despu\u00e9s de 10 a\u00f1os regresa a Italia, gana la ultraderecha con Giorgia Meloni"},"content":{"rendered":"

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MIL\u00c1N, ITALIA.<\/strong><\/em> La derecha ha ganado las elecciones italianas y se perfila para\u00a0volver al poder una d\u00e9cada despu\u00e9s<\/strong>. Las urnas, con una abstenci\u00f3n r\u00e9cord, abren tambi\u00e9n la puerta a que la derecha m\u00e1s dura, la de\u00a0Giorgia Meloni,\u00a0llegue a Palazzo Chigi por primera vez en la historia<\/strong>, cerrando para siempre una era, la que la Rep\u00fablica inaugur\u00f3 sobre el\u00a0pilar del antifascismo\u00a0con las cenizas de la Segunda Guerra Mundial a\u00fan humeantes.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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Los italianos han mandado un mensaje claro, quieren un Gobierno de centro derecha guiado por Hermanos de Italia. Es una noche de orgullo, de reivindicaci\u00f3n, de l\u00e1grimas, de sue\u00f1os y recuerdos, que dedicar a los que ya no est\u00e1n y merec\u00edan haberlo visto. Pero \u00e9ste es s\u00f3lo el punto de partida, no de llegada. Italia nos ha elegido y no la traicionaremos. Si gobernamos, lo haremos para todos, con el objetivo de unirnos de nuevo\u00bb<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n

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El recuento, en l\u00ednea todas las encuestas de las \u00faltimas semanas, certifica a una victoria aplastante de la autoproclamada coalici\u00f3n de centro derecha (Hermanos de Italia, Liga, Forza Italia) con en torno al 43% de los votos. La coalici\u00f3n del centro izquierda, que une al Partido Democr\u00e1tico de\u00a0Enrico Letta\u00a0con los ecologistas y la escisi\u00f3n liderada por\u00a0Luigi di Maio,\u00a0lograr\u00eda un 27% y el Movimiento Cinco Estrellas, que opt\u00f3 por concurrir en solitario, el 15%. El Terzo Polo, la opci\u00f3n centrista del ex primer ministro\u00a0Matteo Renzi\u00a0y Carlo Calenda ir\u00eda a continuaci\u00f3n con cerca del 8% de los votos.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

El porcentaje, sin embargo, es enga\u00f1oso. Sobre esa base la uni\u00f3n de la izquierda, el centro izquierda y el centro estar\u00eda por encima, pero el sistema italiano es mixto, parte mayoritario y parte proporcional, y las estimaciones de los expertos indican que con esas horquillas la derecha obtendr\u00eda c\u00f3modamente la mayor\u00eda absoluta,. La horquilla de la RAI da entre 237 y 257 diputados en la C\u00e1mara sobre 400.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pero incluso si fuera as\u00ed, no hay nada firme tampoco. En las pr\u00f3ximas semanas los partidos deben negociar para escoger la presidencia del Senado y de la C\u00e1mara de Diputados, y despu\u00e9s el presidente\u00a0Sergio Mattarella\u00a0har\u00e1 una consulta con todas las fuerzas y designar\u00e1 a la persona que tenga m\u00e1s posibilidades para que intente formar un Ejecutivo.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Podr\u00eda y deber\u00eda ser Meloni, que se convertir\u00eda en la primera mujer al frente del Ejecutivo y adem\u00e1s la primera ministra m\u00e1s a la derecha del pa\u00eds desde Mussolini, pero aunque raro y casi impensable<\/span>, no es imposible que sea otra cosa. Para conocer los\u00a0resultados definitivos habr\u00e1 que esperar hasta el martes o el mi\u00e9rcoles,\u00a0con el recuento de los votos del exterior. Y para el desenlace palaciego al menos hasta finales de octubre o principios de noviembre.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

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ABSTENCI\u00d3N<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

La participaci\u00f3n del 64%, nueve\u00a0puntos m\u00e1s baja que en 2018 al final de la tarde,\u00a0ha ca\u00eddo a niveles sin precedentes, en l\u00ednea tambi\u00e9n con la desidia y falta de inter\u00e9s palpable en los \u00faltimos meses. La derecha hab\u00eda multiplicado esfuerzos porque tem\u00eda que los suyos se quedaran encasa, y la izquierda hab\u00eda hecho un esfuerzo ingente en el sur en las \u00faltimas semanas para intentar empujar a los colegios, pero el resultado ha sido nefasto. En ciudades como N\u00e1poles la participaci\u00f3n se ha quedado en el 40%. <\/span><\/p>\n

El ‘Partido de la Abstenci\u00f3n’ tiene m\u00e1s fuerza que todas las dem\u00e1s y los resultados muestran que, una vez m\u00e1s, la incapacidad de la fragmentada izquierda de comparecer unida, incluso cuando anuncia la llegada del lobo, es demoledora. Juntos, quiz\u00e1s, habr\u00edan sido competitivos, pero sobre todo han hecho campa\u00f1a atac\u00e1ndose los unos a los otros con ferocidad.<\/span><\/p>\n

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El resultado, aunque esperado, supone un giro notable. La \u00faltima vez que la derecha gan\u00f3 las elecciones y pudo llevar a su l\u00edder en solitario a Palazzo Chigi fue con\u00a0Silvio Berlusconi, que cay\u00f3 en 2011 y no ha salido de la oposici\u00f3n. Desde entonces hab\u00edan sido todo gobernantes tecn\u00f3cratas (Mario Monti,\u00a0Mario Draghi)\u00a0o de izquierda (Enrico Letta,\u00a0Matteo Renzi\u00a0o\u00a0Giuseppe Conte), aunque la Lega fuera parte del equipo de este \u00faltimo.<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

En 2018 las elecciones las gan\u00f3, con mucha diferencia, Cinque Stelle, que lleg\u00f3 al 32,7% de los votos. Cuatro a\u00f1os y un Mario Draghi despu\u00e9s se hunden seg\u00fan las estimaciones al 15%. El Partito Democratico, segundo en 2018, se mantiene en los mismos niveles, sobre el 18-20%. La Lega, que con un Salvini m\u00e1s pujante lleg\u00f3 entonces al 17,4% bajar\u00eda ahora casi a la mitad, trasvasando sus bases a Meloni. Y lo mismo le pasa a Berlusconi, que bajar\u00eda del entorno del 14% de las \u00faltimas generales al 7%, aproximadamente.<\/span><\/p>\n

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