{"id":23314,"date":"2023-08-22T05:00:56","date_gmt":"2023-08-22T10:00:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=23314"},"modified":"2023-08-22T07:16:44","modified_gmt":"2023-08-22T12:16:44","slug":"coaliciones-en-ruta-de-colision","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2023\/08\/22\/coaliciones-en-ruta-de-colision\/","title":{"rendered":"Coaliciones en ruta de colisi\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"p1\">\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Por Aurelio Contreras Moreno<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">En las pr\u00f3ximas dos semanas sabremos qui\u00e9nes ser\u00e1n las y\/o los candidatos presidenciales de las coaliciones oficialista y opositora, aunque formalmente vayan a ocupar un eufemismo \u2013uno m\u00e1s rid\u00edculo que el otro- para darle la vuelta a la ley y nombrarse de una cierta manera hasta que la legislaci\u00f3n les permita asumirse como abanderados.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Contra lo que se pensaba, ninguno de los dos procesos ha resultado un d\u00eda de campo para ning\u00fan contendiente. Ni siquiera en la coalici\u00f3n obradorista, donde la verticalidad que distingue a ese grupo hac\u00eda pensar en una contienda m\u00e1s bien \u201cplanchada\u201d, aun cuando el resultado siga consider\u00e1ndose que ser\u00e1 el que se previ\u00f3 desde el principio.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Sin embargo, Marcelo Ebrard ha decidido doblar su apuesta y cuestionar p\u00fablicamente lo que siempre fue tan evidente como que el agua moja: que todo el aparato del r\u00e9gimen est\u00e1 puesto al servicio de Claudia Sheinbaum, incluidos recursos financieros y humanos, propaganda y propagandistas tanto de casa como externos a la \u201c4T\u201d \u2013con algunos casos realmente lamentables, en los que el prestigio fue rematado a cambio de alguna promesa que qui\u00e9n sabe si les cumplir\u00e1n-, y un proceso de definici\u00f3n completamente ama\u00f1ado y elaborado para que \u201cgane\u201d quien siempre ha sido la \u201ccorcholata\u201d favorita del presidente.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">La semana pasada, Ebrard le puso \u201cel cascabel al gato\u201d llamando a las cosas por su nombre e incluso neg\u00e1ndose a aceptar a las encuestadoras que ya tienen preparado un \u201ctraje a la medida\u201d para Claudia Sheinbaum, lo que le vali\u00f3 la consabida lluvia de improperios y vulgaridades del ala radical obradorista, que no admite disidencia alguna ni tolera que desde dentro se se\u00f1alen sus taras.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Eso no quiere decir que el ex canciller vaya a atreverse a llegar hasta un punto de rompimiento frontal con el r\u00e9gimen del que forma parte, pues sabe bien las consecuencias que eso podr\u00eda tener para \u00e9l. La persecuci\u00f3n que se desatar\u00eda ser\u00eda furiosa y probablemente con toda la fuerza del Estado. Pero al mismo tiempo, sabe bien que se est\u00e1 jugando \u201csu resto\u201d y que \u00e9sta es su \u00faltima oportunidad para buscar la candidatura presidencial.<span class=\"Apple-converted-space\">\u00a0<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Es incierto lo que Ebrard har\u00e1 cuando en Morena se consume lo que estaba decidido desde el principio. Sin embargo, tan solo un alejamiento suyo de la campa\u00f1a morenista le har\u00eda una fuerte mella a la misma, sumado a lo que el otro aspirante maltratado por el \u201cmovimiento\u201d, Ricardo Monreal, pueda hacer para cobrar las facturas que hasta ahora se ha guardado.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">En la trinchera de la coalici\u00f3n opositora no ha sido menos complejo. Los tres partidos que la lideran, PAN, PRI y PRD, est\u00e1n atrapados en un \u201cmatrimonio por conveniencia\u201d en el que las insidias, infidelidades y traiciones no han faltado, pero de donde nadie se va porque eso significar\u00eda pr\u00e1cticamente desaparecer.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">A la recta final de su proceso interno \u2013en el que, a diferencia del oficialista, s\u00ed va a haber una elecci\u00f3n- llegaron dos mujeres, ambas senadoras de la Rep\u00fablica: X\u00f3chitl G\u00e1lvez y Beatriz Paredes. La primera, con el carisma y discurso populachero que conectan con un electorado que se ha acostumbrado precisamente a eso; la segunda, una experimentada pol\u00edtica con gran solvencia intelectual, pero con la pesada carga de representar al priismo m\u00e1s dinos\u00e1urico, al que la ciudadan\u00eda ya le dio la espalda.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Con la declinaci\u00f3n de Santiago Creel en favor de X\u00f3chitl G\u00e1lvez de este lunes, los pron\u00f3sticos dentro del Frente opositor volvieron a emparejarse, aunque Beatriz Paredes tiene a su favor dos cosas: la estructura priista que a\u00fan existe y que puede ser movilizada por el partido el d\u00eda de la elecci\u00f3n interna; y el impulso que el propio r\u00e9gimen le est\u00e1 dando, al considerarla una candidata m\u00e1s \u201cconveniente\u201d que G\u00e1lvez precisamente por lo anteriormente expuesto sobre lo que su imagen asociada al PRI representa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Aunque hay que precisar algo de manera muy puntual: X\u00f3chitl G\u00e1lvez no puede aspirar a derrotar al obradorato \u2013quien sea que lo represente al final- si no es capaz de vencer antes al PRI en esta primera fase. Por lo que la elecci\u00f3n del 3 de septiembre ser\u00e1 la verdadera prueba de su capacidad de convocatoria y de sus posibilidades de ser realmente competitiva.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">De lo que se resuelva en las pr\u00f3ximas dos semanas en ambas trincheras, depender\u00e1 el futuro del pa\u00eds.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Correo: <a href=\"mailto:aureliocontreras@gmail.com\">aureliocontreras@gmail.com<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"p1\"><span style=\"font-size: 18pt;\"><strong>Twitter: <a href=\"http:\/\/www.twitter.com\/yeyocontreras\">@yeyocontreras<\/a><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img data-recalc-dims=\"1\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-14351\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/FIRMA-EDITORIAL-PD-300x37.png?resize=1000%2C122&#038;ssl=1\" alt=\"\" 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los candidatos presidenciales de las [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":4397,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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