{"id":24182,"date":"2023-10-02T11:35:32","date_gmt":"2023-10-02T16:35:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=24182"},"modified":"2023-10-02T11:35:32","modified_gmt":"2023-10-02T16:35:32","slug":"el-peligro-de-las-elecciones","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2023\/10\/02\/el-peligro-de-las-elecciones\/","title":{"rendered":"El peligro de las elecciones"},"content":{"rendered":"

Por \u00c1ngel \u00c1lvaro Pe\u00f1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

La fortaleza del partido Movimiento Ciudadano qued\u00f3 colgada de dos personas, Enrique Alfaro y Samuel Garc\u00eda, gobernadores de Jalisco y Nuevo Le\u00f3n. El primero hizo la intentona de salirse, huida que negoci\u00f3 por una senadur\u00eda y finalmente se qued\u00f3. Samuel, no s\u00f3lo se queda en ese partido sino que espera ser nombrado candidato para la Presidencia de la Rep\u00fablica, que, aunque no llegue, puede servirle de mucho haber concursado por ese puesto.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pero Samuel, que quiere ascender en su carrera pol\u00edtica, tiene varios obst\u00e1culos para lograr ser candidato. Se sabe que de tenerlo como abanderado, Movimiento Ciudadano le arrebatar\u00eda el segundo lugar electoral a la alianza opositora, que, a pesar de ser tres partidos, no se hace uno.<\/span><\/p>\n

El primer obst\u00e1culo de Samuel es t\u00e9cnico, los diputados locales de Nuevo Le\u00f3n, de mayor\u00eda de PRI y PAN; cada uno con 14 diputados locales le impiden dejar el cargo. En Nuevo Le\u00f3n el PRD no tiene representaci\u00f3n en el Congreso ni registro en la entidad, de tal suerte que 29 de los 42 legisladores le negar\u00e1n el permiso para obtener la licencia del cargo para concursar por la candidatura a la Presidencia de la Rep\u00fablica dentro de su partido.<\/span><\/p>\n

Otro de los peligros que habr\u00e1 que sortear Samuel Garc\u00eda es el hecho de que llegue por la puerta grande Marcelo Ebrard y desplace a todos los emecistas, que se ganan a pulso cada candidatura y cargo dentro de ese partido. Porque Ebrard quiere llegar como candidato a la Presidencia, sin mediar encuesta, votaci\u00f3n o cualquier tipo de concurso entre los militantes de ese partido.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ante este \u00faltimo riesgo el gobernador de Nuevo Le\u00f3n advirti\u00f3 que habr\u00eda pleitos y divisiones si la candidatura naranja se la dieran al ex canciller. Entonces si Alfaro y Samuel podr\u00edan crear una divisi\u00f3n seria en MC, y dejar cuando mucho, con la mitad de la militancia a la franquicia. Lo cual implicar\u00eda perder el registro, porque en esa divisi\u00f3n a la mitad no le alcanza el n\u00famero de militantes, lo cual le impedir\u00eda a Marcelo concursar por ese partido, a menos que se una en alianza electoral con alg\u00fan otro partido con registro.<\/span><\/p>\n

Actualmente, Movimiento Ciudadano cuenta con 384,005 militantes, si Alfaro y Samuel se llevan la mitad de \u00e9stos, le quedar\u00edan 192,002 militantes, por lo que no cubren la cuota m\u00ednima de 246,270 militantes, que representa el 0.26 por ciento del padr\u00f3n electoral, y autom\u00e1ticamente se les quitar\u00eda el registro. MC ser\u00eda un partido fantasma t\u00e9cnicamente, aunque pudiera tener muchos votos, en el aspecto de militantes est\u00e1 fuera de la jugada.<\/span><\/p>\n

Entonces Ebrard se quedar\u00eda en el aire. Por eso, desde ahora, el ex canciller debe pensar dos veces unirse a MC y coquetea con la alianza opositora de ultraderecha sin definir nada. Mientras aprovecha para desgastar a Morena que ser\u00e1 su futuro contrincante.<\/span><\/p>\n

Samuel tiene un futuro incierto, Ebrard tiene un futuro incierto, MC tiene un futuro incierto.<\/span><\/p>\n

El aviso que hizo p\u00fablico el gobernador de Nuevo Le\u00f3n lleva impl\u00edcita la sobrevivencia del partido que lo postul\u00f3. Debe tomarse en cuenta que no hay capacidad de negociaci\u00f3n cuando est\u00e1 de por medio la candidatura a la Presidencia de la Rep\u00fablica.<\/span><\/p>\n

Las leyes electorales tienen sus l\u00edmites, aunque su aplicaci\u00f3n sea parcial, tendenciosa, ambigua, relativa y mal intencionada. Prueba de ello son los cientos de personajes que se inscriben para concursar por un puesto de elecci\u00f3n popular, por la v\u00eda independiente, con la certeza de que no ganar\u00e1n, pero es solo intento les sirve para obtener dinero y fama. Despu\u00e9s de ese intento no son los mismos que antes, porque fueron placeados en una pasarela que pagamos todos los contribuyentes.<\/span><\/p>\n

Famosos, intelectuales, empresarios, entran al concurso de las candidaturas independientes, de las vanidades, sabiendo que no ganar\u00e1n, pero si adquirir\u00e1n espacios en los medios, su nombre en ellos les costar\u00eda millones, y a trav\u00e9s de este modelo la poblaci\u00f3n les paga la fama o la difusi\u00f3n de su nombre, adem\u00e1s de darle dinero para sus campa\u00f1as.<\/span><\/p>\n

Personajes que antes nadie conoc\u00eda ahora son famosos por haber concursado, por la v\u00eda independiente, por diferentes cargos de elecci\u00f3n popular, fama cuya imagen fue patrocinada por los contribuyentes.<\/span><\/p>\n

Es decir, las leyes electorales son plataformas de negocios, como una especie de esquema de emprendedores que lleva a la fama y, ocasionalmente, a la riqueza. Ganar o perder las elecciones para estos candidatos es irrelevante, lo que importa es aparecer en los medios.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cuando quieren actualizarse, profundizarse, precisarse, reformarse las leyes electorales, de inmediato un segmento de la poblaci\u00f3n, dedicado a que nada cambie en el pa\u00eds, salen de sus confortables rincones a gritar \u201cEl INE no se toca\u201d, mientras los oportunistas utilizan a ese instituto como medio para enriquecerse, el caso de Lorenzo C\u00f3rdova, Edmundo Jacobo, y Ciro Murayama entre otros, es evidente.<\/span><\/p>\n

As\u00ed las leyes se vuelven absurdas, como el caso del impedimento de Samuel Garc\u00eda condicionado absurdamente por el Congreso estatal. La inmovilidad de las tareas del Poder Legislativo no es negligencia de los legisladores muchas veces la falta de reformas urgentes, como en este caso sino las reacciones de una oposici\u00f3n feroz o de intereses que disfrazan de lobo los cambios necesarios.<\/span><\/p>\n

As\u00ed las leyes envejecen y se vuelven inoperantes y no hay manera de sacarlas del pasado. De ah\u00ed que el Poder Judicial sea un de los m\u00e1s conservadores, porque sus miembros son juez y parte de la reforma de las leyes que muchas veces impiden no s\u00f3lo la evoluci\u00f3n de la democracia sino el desarrollo del pa\u00eds.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Por \u00c1ngel \u00c1lvaro Pe\u00f1a La fortaleza del partido Movimiento Ciudadano qued\u00f3 colgada de dos personas, Enrique Alfaro y Samuel Garc\u00eda, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":24183,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[26],"tags":[3103],"class_list":["post-24182","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-columnistas","tag-reportaje"],"yoast_head":"\nEl peligro de las elecciones - 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