{"id":27486,"date":"2023-12-14T10:55:40","date_gmt":"2023-12-14T16:55:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=27486"},"modified":"2023-12-14T10:55:40","modified_gmt":"2023-12-14T16:55:40","slug":"anticipa-la-reserva-federal-tres-recortes-a-la-tasa-de-interes-en-2024","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2023\/12\/14\/anticipa-la-reserva-federal-tres-recortes-a-la-tasa-de-interes-en-2024\/","title":{"rendered":"Anticipa la Reserva Federal tres recortes a la tasa de inter\u00e9s en 2024"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

El crecimiento de Estados Unidos se ha desacelerado, comparado con el 5.2 por ciento anual del tercer trimestre de 2023, afirm\u00f3 la Reserva Federal (Fed), lo que reducir\u00e1 la inflaci\u00f3n estadunidense hacia su objetivo de 2 por ciento. Ante este escenario, el banco central envi\u00f3 una fuerte se\u00f1al de que el ciclo de endurecimiento monetario termin\u00f3 y ahora espera un cr\u00e9dito m\u00e1s barato en 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

De manera un\u00e1nime y ampliamente anticipado por los agentes econ\u00f3micos en el mundo, la Fed mantuvo sin cambios la tasa de referencia \u2013la que determina el costo del cr\u00e9dito al que se financian empresas y personas\u2013 en un rango de entre 5.25 y 5.5 por ciento, su nivel m\u00e1ximo en 22 a\u00f1os, en su \u00faltima decisi\u00f3n monetaria del a\u00f1o.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pese a la tercera pausa consecutiva, la Fed dej\u00f3 la puerta entreabierta a un alza a principios de a\u00f1o ante lo impredecible de la econom\u00eda; sin embargo, conf\u00eda en aplicar al menos tres recortes hasta por 0.75 puntos porcentuales en 2024 para dejar el precio del dinero entre 4.5 y 4.75 por ciento, seg\u00fan revel\u00f3 el diagrama de puntos en el que cada miembro del Comit\u00e9 de Mercado Abierto (FOMC, por su siglas en ingl\u00e9s) dibuja c\u00f3mo espera que se comporten las tasas.<\/span><\/p>\n

La Fed public\u00f3 nuevos estimados para la econom\u00eda de Estados Unidos. La autoridad monetaria prev\u00e9 un crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de 2.6 por ciento en 2023, contra el 2.1 por ciento previo, ante el fuerte impulso del periodo julio-septiembre, pero para 2024 lo redujo moderadamente a 1.4 desde 1.5 por ciento. Para la inflaci\u00f3n espera un mejor desempe\u00f1o con 2.8 por ciento para 2023 y 2.4 por ciento para 2024; en tanto, su objetivo de 2 por ciento est\u00e1 previsto entre 2025 y 2026.<\/span><\/p>\n

La Fed tuvo de adoptar medidas restrictivas para reducir la inflaci\u00f3n, la cual alcanz\u00f3 su mayor tasa en cuatro d\u00e9cadas, y mantener las tasas de inter\u00e9s altas por un periodo m\u00e1s largo, pero estas medidas reducen el crecimiento \u2013efecto que perjudicar\u00e1 a M\u00e9xico por su fuerte relaci\u00f3n comercial\u2013 y dar\u00e1n lugar a que aumente el desempleo, afectando el flujo de remesas.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

As\u00ed, 17 de las 19 autoridades del FOMC prev\u00e9n que la tasa de inter\u00e9s ser\u00e1 m\u00e1s baja en 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

La econom\u00eda estadunidense crecer\u00e1 moderadamente, sin que se asome una recesi\u00f3n, con un mercado laboral s\u00f3lido y un ritmo descendente en los precios al consumidor.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ante el rumbo que ha marcado la Fed, Marco Oviedo, estratega para Am\u00e9rica Latina de XP Investments, prev\u00e9 que este jueves el Banco de M\u00e9xico, en su \u00faltima decisi\u00f3n monetaria del a\u00f1o, mandar\u00e1 la se\u00f1al de un recorte en febrero pr\u00f3ximo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ante el apetito por el riesgo, luego de la inyecci\u00f3n de optimismo de la Fed, el peso se impuso ante el d\u00f3lar y los mercados alcanzaron niveles r\u00e9cord.<\/span><\/p>\n

La moneda nacional se apreci\u00f3 ayer 1.02 por ciento, equivalente a 17.68 centavos, ante la divisa estadunidense, para cerrar en el mercado interbancario en 17.2235 unidades por d\u00f3lar\u00a0spot<\/em>.<\/span><\/p>\n

De acuerdo con informaci\u00f3n del Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM), el tipo de cambio oper\u00f3 durante la jornada entre un m\u00e1ximo de 17.4670 unidades y un m\u00ednimo de 17.1960.<\/span><\/p>\n

En Wall Street, el Dow Jones subi\u00f3 1.40 por ciento, a 37 mil 90.24 enteros, el cierre m\u00e1s alto de su historia; el \u00edndice S&P 500 gan\u00f3 1.37 por ciento, a 4 mil 707.09 puntos, y el Nasdaq, de gran tecnolog\u00eda, subi\u00f3 1.3 por ciento, a 14 mil 733.96 unidades.<\/span><\/p>\n

Por su parte, la Bolsa Mexicana de Valores (BMV) gan\u00f3 1.34 por ciento, para cerrar en 55 mil 167.86 enteros, su mejor nivel desde junio.<\/span><\/p>\n

Los precios del petr\u00f3leo subieron. El WTI avanz\u00f3 1.3 por ciento, a 69.47 d\u00f3lares por barril; el Brent aument\u00f3 1.39 por ciento, a 74.26 d\u00f3lares, y la mezcla mexicana sum\u00f3 27 centavos, al cerrar en 64.60 d\u00f3lares por barril.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El crecimiento de Estados Unidos se ha desacelerado, comparado con el 5.2 por ciento anual del tercer trimestre de 2023, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":27487,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-27486","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nAnticipa la Reserva Federal tres recortes a la tasa de inter\u00e9s en 2024 - 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Las declaraciones de Cuitl\u00e1huac Garc\u00eda Jim\u00e9nez, director general del Centro Nacional de Control\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abNACIONAL\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"NACIONAL","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/category\/nacional\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/835248718_1622514635895771_8487758404745033112_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/835248718_1622514635895771_8487758404745033112_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/835248718_1622514635895771_8487758404745033112_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/835248718_1622514635895771_8487758404745033112_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/835248718_1622514635895771_8487758404745033112_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C800&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/12\/jerome-powell_20231210121551.jpg?fit=640%2C406&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27486","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27486"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27486\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27487"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27486"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27486"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27486"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}