{"id":28106,"date":"2023-12-26T10:55:15","date_gmt":"2023-12-26T16:55:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=28106"},"modified":"2023-12-26T10:55:15","modified_gmt":"2023-12-26T16:55:15","slug":"riesgo-politico-y-economico-del-pais-en-su-nivel-mas-bajo-en-9-anos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2023\/12\/26\/riesgo-politico-y-economico-del-pais-en-su-nivel-mas-bajo-en-9-anos\/","title":{"rendered":"Riesgo pol\u00edtico y econ\u00f3mico del pa\u00eds, en su nivel m\u00e1s bajo en 9 a\u00f1os"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"col col1\">\n<p class=\"s-s\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El riesgo pa\u00eds o la percepci\u00f3n del riesgo pol\u00edtico y econ\u00f3mico que el mercado tiene sobre la calidad crediticia del gobierno de M\u00e9xico se ubic\u00f3 en el nivel m\u00e1s bajo en nueve a\u00f1os.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">De acuerdo con datos de Bloomberg, esta medici\u00f3n calculada a trav\u00e9s del \u00cdndice de Bonos de Mercados Emergentes Global (Embig, por sus siglas en ingl\u00e9s) de J.P. Morgan, se encuentra en niveles similares a los observados en diciembre de 2014.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Lo anterior se traduce en la baja posibilidad de que el pa\u00eds incumpla en sus obligaciones financieras correspondientes a su deuda externa.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El nivel de la medici\u00f3n se explica en parte por el dinamismo positivo de los principales indicadores econ\u00f3micos de la naci\u00f3n, como el tipo de cambio, luego de que el d\u00f3lar concluy\u00f3 la semana cotizando en 16.99 pesos; mientras la inflaci\u00f3n hasta la primera quincena de diciembre fue de 4.46 por ciento, dato que si bien se aceler\u00f3, se encuentra m\u00e1s cercano al objetivo del Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Aunado a ello, la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda prev\u00e9 que la econom\u00eda mexicana crezca este a\u00f1o 3.5 o 3.6 por ciento, mientras para el siguiente a\u00f1o ser\u00e1 de entre 2.5 y 3.5 por ciento, seg\u00fan indic\u00f3 el subsecretario de Hacienda, Gabriel Yorio, a finales de noviembre.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">De acuerdo con varios especialistas es importante mantener un nivel de riesgo pa\u00eds que no afecte la econom\u00eda, pues esto tambi\u00e9n permite a los inversionistas decidir sobre las inyecciones de capital en territorio nacional, algo que en este momento es importante en el contexto de la relocalizaci\u00f3n de empresas.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col col2\">\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El nivel m\u00ednimo hist\u00f3rico del riesgo pa\u00eds de M\u00e9xico es de 71 puntos, el cual fue registrado en junio de 2007, mientras el m\u00e1ximo hist\u00f3rico ha sido de 624 puntos base, al cual se lleg\u00f3 en octubre de 2008.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Cabe destacar que la prima de riesgo del pa\u00eds en junio de 2013 se ubic\u00f3 en 196 puntos base, dato que se tradujo como el nivel m\u00e1s bajo entre las principales econom\u00edas emergentes de Am\u00e9rica Latina.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Datos de la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda tambi\u00e9n refieren que en los primeros cinco meses del a\u00f1o pasado el riesgo pa\u00eds aument\u00f3 en los mercados emergentes, mientras el de M\u00e9xico mantuvo una estabilidad.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Hasta el 13 de mayo pasado se coloc\u00f3 en 400 puntos base, luego de un acumulado entre enero y mayo de 53 puntos base, variaci\u00f3n inferior a los 207 que acumul\u00f3 Argentina en el mismo periodo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Seg\u00fan especialistas, cuando el riesgo pa\u00eds est\u00e1 en niveles altos, se traduce en incrementos de tasas de inter\u00e9s, lo cual tiene consecuencias como el encarecimiento de cr\u00e9ditos hipotecarios, automotrices, por mencionar algunos.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El 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