{"id":30441,"date":"2024-02-02T09:00:32","date_gmt":"2024-02-02T15:00:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=30441"},"modified":"2024-02-02T09:00:32","modified_gmt":"2024-02-02T15:00:32","slug":"la-estabilidad-de-mexico-firme-en-los-proximos-dos-anos-sp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/02\/02\/la-estabilidad-de-mexico-firme-en-los-proximos-dos-anos-sp\/","title":{"rendered":"La estabilidad de M\u00e9xico, firme en los pr\u00f3ximos dos a\u00f1os: S&P"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Standard & Poor\u2019s, la principal agencia de riesgo crediticio, ratific\u00f3 su calificaci\u00f3n sobre la solvencia de la deuda mexicana y fundament\u00f3 esta decisi\u00f3n en que anticipa que prevalezca\u00a0un manejo macroecon\u00f3mico cauteloso durante los pr\u00f3ximos dos a\u00f1os<\/q>, independientemente del contexto internacional, lo que\u00a0incluye el periodo previo a las elecciones de junio, el periodo de transici\u00f3n presidencial y el inicio de la pr\u00f3xima administraci\u00f3n<\/q>.<\/span><\/p>\n

Las condiciones macroecon\u00f3micas estables, con un crecimiento real del producto interno bruto (PIB) superior a 3 por ciento en 2023 respaldado por la s\u00f3lida demanda interna y a la moderaci\u00f3n de la inflaci\u00f3n, preparan el camino para las elecciones nacionales de junio y la llegada de una nueva administraci\u00f3n al poder en octubre<\/q>, coment\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n

De acuerdo con la firma de riesgo, su escenario base es que\u00a0sea cual sea el resultado de las elecciones de junio<\/q>, la pr\u00f3xima administraci\u00f3n\u00a0mantendr\u00e1 la ejecuci\u00f3n cautelosa de pol\u00edticas macroecon\u00f3micas de M\u00e9xico<\/q>. S&P considera que el pr\u00f3ximo gobierno presentar\u00e1 un presupuesto para 2025 que reduzca el d\u00e9ficit p\u00fablico de 5 por ciento que se proyect\u00f3 para 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

A unos d\u00edas de que el presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador presente un paquete de reformas, entre las que se incluye una a pensiones, la calificadora descart\u00f3 que en pleno a\u00f1o electoral avance cualquier\u00a0iniciativa pol\u00edtica significativa<\/q>\u00a0que modifique\u00a0el entorno de negocios de M\u00e9xico o afecte la tendencia del crecimiento econ\u00f3mico<\/q>.<\/span><\/p>\n

La principal firma de riesgo a nivel mundial confirm\u00f3 la calificaci\u00f3n de la deuda soberana de M\u00e9xico en BBB, bajo grado de inversi\u00f3n, y mantuvo la perspectiva estable. Esto quiere decir que no considera movimientos a su valuaci\u00f3n en los pr\u00f3ximos dos a\u00f1os.\u00a0La democracia y el marco institucional de M\u00e9xico han generado estabilidad pol\u00edtica y cambios regulares de gobierno durante las \u00faltimas dos d\u00e9cadas. Esperamos que las elecciones de este a\u00f1o no sean diferentes<\/q>, reiter\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Agreg\u00f3 que\u00a0el apoyo pol\u00edtico a una gesti\u00f3n macroecon\u00f3mica cautelosa ha apuntalado pol\u00edticas fiscales y monetarias prudentes y un r\u00e9gimen cambiario flotante<\/q>, aspectos que\u00a0son clave<\/q>\u00a0para la calificaci\u00f3n soberana y para mantener\u00a0la confianza de los inversionistas y el acceso a los mercados internacionales de capitales, incluso en periodos de tendencias globales adversas<\/q>.<\/span><\/p>\n

La firma enfatiz\u00f3 que la\u00a0credibilidad de la independencia<\/q>\u00a0del Banco de M\u00e9xico, su capacidad para seguir una pol\u00edtica monetaria de metas inflacionarias frente a circunstancias desafiantes y su s\u00f3lida posici\u00f3n externa\u201d tuvieron un papel predominante en el an\u00e1lisis para ratificar la calificaci\u00f3n soberana del pa\u00eds.<\/span><\/p>\n

No obstante, destac\u00f3 que M\u00e9xico no ha logrado un gran dinamismo econ\u00f3mico en comparaci\u00f3n con otros mercados emergentes, pese a su\u00a0cautelosa gesti\u00f3n macroecon\u00f3mica<\/q>\u00a0en los pasados 20 a\u00f1os. Es ah\u00ed donde las expectativas de la relocalizaci\u00f3n de cadenas productivas, conocida como\u00a0nearshoring<\/em>, se espera que impulsen el crecimiento y abran la necesidad de resolver las seguridad energ\u00e9tica e h\u00eddrica, las necesidades infraestructura, mano de obra calificada y estado de derecho.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Standard & Poor\u2019s, la principal agencia de riesgo crediticio, ratific\u00f3 su calificaci\u00f3n sobre la solvencia de la deuda mexicana y […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":30442,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30441","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nLa estabilidad de M\u00e9xico, firme en los pr\u00f3ximos dos a\u00f1os: S&P - 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