{"id":33249,"date":"2024-03-11T08:37:19","date_gmt":"2024-03-11T14:37:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=33249"},"modified":"2024-03-11T08:37:19","modified_gmt":"2024-03-11T14:37:19","slug":"por-primera-vez-los-estados-del-sur-crecen-mas-que-los-del-norte","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/03\/11\/por-primera-vez-los-estados-del-sur-crecen-mas-que-los-del-norte\/","title":{"rendered":"Por primera vez, los estados del sur crecen m\u00e1s que los del norte"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de 3.2 por ciento anual en 2023 present\u00f3 rasgos singulares que confirman una nueva estrategia de crecimiento respecto a la puesta en pr\u00e1ctica en sexenios anteriores, sostienen analistas econ\u00f3micos.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Por primera vez en la historia de M\u00e9xico, el sur est\u00e1 creciendo m\u00e1s que el norte y eso va a ayudar, aunque sea de forma m\u00ednima, a cerrar las diferencias de ingresos. En ese sentido es positivo que el crecimiento en el sur, por primera vez, sea mayor, pues tradicionalmente los estados del norte eran los que repuntaban, afirm\u00f3 Guillermina Rodr\u00edguez, subdirectora de an\u00e1lisis econ\u00f3mico de Citibanamex.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Los mayores crecimientos el a\u00f1o pasado se vieron en Oaxaca, Quintana Roo y San Luis Potos\u00ed, donde uno de los sectores que mayor dinamismo mostr\u00f3 fue el de la construcci\u00f3n y ya a nivel regional se ve mucho m\u00e1s plasmado en Oaxaca y en Quintana Roo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">La construcci\u00f3n del Tren Maya explica estos crecimientos de casi 10 por ciento, mientras el producto interno bruto (PIB) nacional fue de 3.2 por ciento, detall\u00f3 Rodr\u00edguez.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">De acuerdo con analistas de CIAL Dun &amp; Bradstreet, la industria de la construcci\u00f3n es estrat\u00e9gica para el pa\u00eds, no s\u00f3lo por su tama\u00f1o, al reportar un valor de 121 mil millones de d\u00f3lares en 2023, sino tambi\u00e9n por su capacidad de arrastre sobre muchos sectores.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><q>Genera efectos multiplicadores sobre m\u00e1s de 60 industrias. En este a\u00f1o, este sector representar\u00e1 7 por ciento del PIB nacional, su mejor cifra hist\u00f3rica y hoy atraviesa por un auge sin precedente<\/q>, prev\u00e9 la firma de informes crediticios.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Despu\u00e9s de la crisis de 2020, est\u00e1 creciendo por encima de la econom\u00eda. Report\u00f3 una tasa de 15.6 por ciento en 2023, una tasa que en condiciones normales nunca hab\u00eda visto. S\u00f3lo como referencia: creci\u00f3 17.8 por ciento en 1996, tras su desplome de 29.6 por ciento durante la gran crisis de 1995 (por efecto estad\u00edstico).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Otro rasgo singular proviene de una orientaci\u00f3n e impulso mucho mayor al consumo de las familias mediante incrementos sustanciales a la ayuda a trav\u00e9s de los programas sociales, al salario m\u00ednimo y, en adici\u00f3n, el acelerado crecimiento de las remesas familiares.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El consumo extendi\u00f3 su dinamismo en la medida en que los consumidores se vieron beneficiados por el env\u00edo de remesas, el adelanto de transferencias sociales, as\u00ed como por las condiciones de estrechez en el mercado laboral.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">En 2023, las remesas ascendieron a 63 mil 300 de millones de d\u00f3lares. Sin embargo, la medici\u00f3n de los env\u00edos en pesos reales, en contraste, registr\u00f3 una ca\u00edda de 10.1 por ciento, la mayor contracci\u00f3n desde 2010 cuando bajaron 10.8 por ciento.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">En paralelo, la inversi\u00f3n fue el pilar del crecimiento econ\u00f3mico durante el a\u00f1o pasado, se expandi\u00f3 15.4 por ciento (anterior: 21.5 por ciento). Durante 2023, la inversi\u00f3n creci\u00f3 en promedio 18.3 por ciento anual, por arriba del 7 por ciento registrado durante 2022 y muy por arriba del promedio de los tres a\u00f1os anteriores a la pandemia de una contracci\u00f3n de 1.3 por ciento anual.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El pilar del crecimiento econ\u00f3mico se ubicaba en el sector externo, especialmente en las exportaciones que fung\u00edan como pivote del avance econ\u00f3mico. Ahora, la demanda dom\u00e9stica, consumo e inversi\u00f3n, cambio el rumbo.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El crecimiento econ\u00f3mico de 3.2 por ciento anual en 2023 present\u00f3 rasgos singulares que confirman una nueva estrategia de crecimiento [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":33250,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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