{"id":37122,"date":"2024-05-09T09:17:22","date_gmt":"2024-05-09T14:17:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=37122"},"modified":"2024-05-09T09:17:22","modified_gmt":"2024-05-09T14:17:22","slug":"pemex-deberia-abstenerse-de-emitir-deuda-carlos-serrano","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/05\/09\/pemex-deberia-abstenerse-de-emitir-deuda-carlos-serrano\/","title":{"rendered":"Pemex deber\u00eda abstenerse de emitir deuda: Carlos Serrano"},"content":{"rendered":"

Actualmente el premio que paga la petrolera por financiamiento es 6 puntos porcentuales mayor de lo que le cuesta al soberano; en t\u00e9rminos de d\u00f3lares paga tasas entre 10 y 11%.<\/em><\/p>\n

Mientras el costo de colocar deuda sea considerablemente m\u00e1s alto que el del Gobierno Federal, Petr\u00f3leos Mexicanos (Pemex) deber\u00e1 evitar salir a los mercados a solicitar financiamiento, sugiri\u00f3 Carlos Serrano, economista en jefe en BBVA M\u00e9xico.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

El especialista detall\u00f3 que actualmente el premio que paga la petrolera mexicana por emitir deuda es 6 puntos porcentuales mayor de lo que le cuesta al soberano. En t\u00e9rminos de d\u00f3lares, paga tasas de entre 10 y 11 por ciento.<\/p>\n

\u201cSer\u00eda mejor que Pemex no emita deuda, que lo haga el gobierno federal y que le inyecte esos recursos, porque de lo contrario, como Estado, estar\u00edamos contrayendo deuda a precios mucho mayores\u201d.<\/p>\n

Tras su participaci\u00f3n en el panel \u201cEvaluando el impacto: exposici\u00f3n al sector p\u00fablico y su efecto sobre la solidez de la banca mexicana\u201d dentro del foro Fitch on M\u00e9xico 2024, consider\u00f3 que si la petrolera cambia su modelo de negocio es posible que disminuya su costo de financiamiento y podr\u00eda regresar a los mercados financieros a emitir deuda.<\/p>\n

\u201cMientras las tasas sigan tan altas no es aconsejable que Pemex emita deuda en los mercados. Si el gobierno emite deuda a una tasa seis puntos porcentuales menor y si se la inyecta a Pemex, esto ser\u00eda en beneficio para la deuda p\u00fablica\u201d, reiter\u00f3.<\/p>\n

El economista en BBVA dijo que, en promedio en los \u00faltimos cinco a\u00f1os, los apoyos que ha recibido Pemex por parte del gobierno federal equivalen a 1% del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) (alrededor de 18,000 millones de d\u00f3lares al a\u00f1o). Alert\u00f3 que este podr\u00eda aumentar (incluso representar\u00eda el 2% del PIB) si los precios del petr\u00f3leo bajan, ya que la petrolera estatal mexicana necesitar\u00eda m\u00e1s recursos.<\/p>\n

\u201cEn un pa\u00eds que ha tenido d\u00e9ficits de alrededor de 3% del PIB, que una tercera parte sea Pemex s\u00ed es muy elevado\u201d, agreg\u00f3.<\/p>\n

La deuda de Pemex ascendi\u00f3 a 101,500 millones de d\u00f3lares al cierre del primer trimestre del 2024.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1s presiones para Pemex<\/strong>
\nEn el mismo evento, Adriana Eraso, directora corporativa en Fitch Ratings, coincidi\u00f3 en que le saldr\u00eda m\u00e1s barato al soberano emitir deuda para apoyar a Pemex, ya que esta \u00faltima enfrenta retos no s\u00f3lo en cuanto costos de capital, sino tambi\u00e9n en materia Ambiental, Social y de Gobernanza (ASG).<\/p>\n

Mencion\u00f3 que en el 2023, la petrolera mexicana pag\u00f3 8,000 millones de d\u00f3lares de intereses y se prev\u00e9 que este a\u00f1o desembolse una cantidad similar.<\/p>\n

La experta coment\u00f3 que la deuda de Pemex supera 8% del PIB de M\u00e9xico, por lo que es la petrolera m\u00e1s endeudada del mundo. Para los pr\u00f3ximos cinco a seis a\u00f1os, enfrentar\u00e1 vencimientos de alrededor de 40% de su deuda financiera.<\/p>\n

\u201cNo estamos hablando de n\u00fameros peque\u00f1os, entonces es muy importante pensar en c\u00f3mo se va a manejar esa deuda, c\u00f3mo se van a manejar esos vencimientos y c\u00f3mo el gobierno va a apoyar el desapalancamiento\u201d, a\u00f1adi\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Sobre todo porque a Pemex ya le est\u00e1 afectando en su acceso al capital y en sus operaciones por las presiones de Capex (inversiones de capital).<\/p>\n

Tambi\u00e9n enfrenta presiones en materia ASG porque hoy \u201cla banca internacional est\u00e1 muy concentrada es descarbonizar portafolios. Pemex tienen un problema (porque) es supremamente contaminante (…) Eso empieza a tener problemas en el acceso a capital, no solamente es un tema reputacional\u201d, resalt\u00f3 Adriana Eraso.<\/p>\n

Se debe garantizar viabilidad financiera<\/strong>
\nEn su oportunidad, Shelly Shetty, directora de Soberanos para Am\u00e9rica Latina y Asia en Fitch, dijo que la pr\u00f3xima administraci\u00f3n tendr\u00e1 que asumir la responsabilidad de garantizar la viabilidad financiera de Pemex, tal como lo ha hecho el gobierno actual, o desarrollar una nueva estrategia que garantice el cumplimiento de sus obligaciones con su propia generaci\u00f3n de ingresos.<\/p>\n

Explic\u00f3 que en la eventualidad del triunfo del partido en el poder en las pr\u00f3ximas elecciones, se puede anticipar continuidad en el manejo de la paraestatal.<\/p>\n

Se refiri\u00f3 en espec\u00edfico a las inyecciones de capital que ha realizado el gobierno as\u00ed como el pago de deuda y vencimientos de la misma.<\/p>\n

La experta aclar\u00f3 que el apoyo financiero del gobierno a Pemex en esta administraci\u00f3n est\u00e1 considerado en la calificaci\u00f3n soberana, que es \u201cBBB-\u201d, que indica a los inversionistas que est\u00e1 en un escal\u00f3n arriba del grado de inversi\u00f3n, apenas librando las notas de emisores especulativos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Actualmente el premio que paga la petrolera por financiamiento es 6 puntos porcentuales mayor de lo que le cuesta al […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":37124,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-37122","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nPemex deber\u00eda abstenerse de emitir deuda: Carlos Serrano - 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