{"id":38335,"date":"2024-05-25T01:13:47","date_gmt":"2024-05-25T06:13:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=38335"},"modified":"2024-05-25T01:13:47","modified_gmt":"2024-05-25T06:13:47","slug":"coahuila-muestra-un-desempeno-financiero-adecuado-fitch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/05\/25\/coahuila-muestra-un-desempeno-financiero-adecuado-fitch\/","title":{"rendered":"Coahuila muestra un desempe\u00f1o financiero adecuado: Fitch"},"content":{"rendered":"

La agencia ratific\u00f3 su calificaci\u00f3n nacional de largo plazo en \u201cA-(mex)\u201d, cuya perspectiva crediticia es Estable.<\/span><\/p>\n

Un desempe\u00f1o financiero adecuado de Coahuila en el 2023 provoc\u00f3 que Fitch Ratings ratificara su calificaci\u00f3n nacional de largo plazo en \u201cA-(mex)\u201d, cuya perspectiva crediticia es Estable.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cLa ratificaci\u00f3n de la calificaci\u00f3n considera un desempe\u00f1o financiero adecuado, con un balance operativo (BO) estable en 2023, como resultado de un crecimiento del gasto operativo (GO) alineado a la evoluci\u00f3n de los ingresos operativos (IO)\u201d, explica la agencia en un reporte enviado a la Bolsa Mexicana de Valores.<\/span><\/p>\n

De acuerdo con las expectativas y a lo establecido en la Ley de Disciplina Financiera, a\u00f1ade, Coahuila liquid\u00f3 en tiempo y forma la deuda de corto plazo, al completarla tres meses antes del cambio de administraci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, en noviembre pasado, el estado llev\u00f3 a cabo el refinanciamiento de su deuda directa de largo plazo, mejorando as\u00ed los t\u00e9rminos y condiciones. En consecuencia, las m\u00e9tricas de sostenibilidad de la deuda se han mantenido en niveles similares a sus pares de calificaci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Perfil del emisor<\/span>
\nCoahuila, situado en el norte de M\u00e9xico, se conforma de 38 municipios y tiene como capital a Saltillo; el estado colinda al norte con Texas.<\/span><\/p>\n

Asimismo, es uno de los cinco estados mexicanos con mayores ventas internacionales a Estados Unidos en relaci\u00f3n con su PIB estatal (38.4 por ciento).<\/span><\/p>\n

Debido a su ubicaci\u00f3n geogr\u00e1fica y su vocaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica industrial y manufacturera, Coahuila podr\u00eda beneficiarse eventualmente, seg\u00fan la calificadora, por la relocalizaci\u00f3n de empresas, principalmente aquellas pertenecientes a los sectores automotriz, acerero y textil.<\/span><\/p>\n

Evoluci\u00f3n estable<\/span>
\nLos ingresos operativos de Coahuila est\u00e1n relacionados estrechamente con el desempe\u00f1o de las transferencias nacionales, ante lo cual, Fitch considera que el marco institucional de asignaci\u00f3n de transferencias y su evoluci\u00f3n son estables y predecibles.<\/span><\/p>\n

En el periodo de an\u00e1lisis 2019- 2023, las transferencias federales mostraron una tasa media anual de crecimiento (TMAC) real de -0.2%, inferior al crecimiento del PIB nacional (0.9 por ciento).<\/span><\/p>\n

En el mismo lapso, estas transferencias provenientes del gobierno federal representaron en promedio 81.2% de los ingresos operativos del estado; \u00e9stos presentaron un crecimiento nominal de 10% en 2023 y una TMAC de 5.5 por ciento.<\/span><\/p>\n

En 2023, los IO de Coahuila se vieron fortalecidos por la recepci\u00f3n de 1,234.4 millones de pesos de la potenciaci\u00f3n del Fondo de Estabilizaci\u00f3n de los Ingresos de las Entidades Federativas (FEIEF), derivado de una recaudaci\u00f3n federal participable observada menor a la estimada.<\/span><\/p>\n

Debilidad<\/span>
\nUna de las debilidades de Coahuila es la adaptabilidad de sus debido a la dependencia alta de las transferencias nacionales, una caracter\u00edstica estructural de las entidades federativas.<\/span><\/p>\n

La agencia considera que, en un contexto global, los gobiernos subnacionales en M\u00e9xico presentan una capacidad limitada de recaudaci\u00f3n local y una autonom\u00eda fiscal acotada, lo cual dificulta compensar una ca\u00edda en ingresos federales mediante un esfuerzo recaudatorio mayor.<\/span><\/p>\n

En consecuencia, recalca Fitch, la probabilidad de que un aumento adicional de los ingresos cubra al menos 50% de la disminuci\u00f3n razonablemente esperada de los ingresos es muy baja, incluso si se utiliza un margen fiscal discrecional hasta la tasa m\u00e1xima legal permitida y se ampl\u00eda la base gravable.<\/span><\/p>\n

No obstante, expone que los impuestos se han fortalecido en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os y representaron 9.1% de los ingresos totales en los a\u00f1os 2022 y 2023, indicador superior a la mediana de los estados calificados por Fitch.<\/span><\/p>\n

Se espera que la recaudaci\u00f3n de impuestos mantenga una tendencia positiva, puesto que la tasa del impuesto sobre n\u00f3mina (ISN) aument\u00f3 a 3% desde 2% en 2024.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cAdem\u00e1s del beneficio asociado a la posible relocalizaci\u00f3n de empresas, Coahuila dispone de margen para introducir impuestos estatales similares a los que se han introducido en otros estados, como el impuesto cedular o impuestos ambientales\u201d, asegura la calificadora.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La agencia ratific\u00f3 su calificaci\u00f3n nacional de largo plazo en \u201cA-(mex)\u201d, cuya perspectiva crediticia es Estable. Un desempe\u00f1o financiero adecuado […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":38336,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[30],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-estados"],"yoast_head":"\nCoahuila muestra un desempe\u00f1o financiero adecuado: Fitch - Pol\u00edticos al Desnudo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/05\/25\/coahuila-muestra-un-desempeno-financiero-adecuado-fitch\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Coahuila muestra un desempe\u00f1o financiero adecuado: Fitch - Pol\u00edticos al Desnudo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"La agencia ratific\u00f3 su calificaci\u00f3n nacional de largo plazo en \u201cA-(mex)\u201d, cuya perspectiva crediticia es Estable. 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