{"id":38821,"date":"2024-05-31T09:09:30","date_gmt":"2024-05-31T14:09:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=38821"},"modified":"2024-05-31T09:09:30","modified_gmt":"2024-05-31T14:09:30","slug":"la-agencia-jcr-ratifico-la-calificacion-de-mexico-en-a-con-perspectiva-estable","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/05\/31\/la-agencia-jcr-ratifico-la-calificacion-de-mexico-en-a-con-perspectiva-estable\/","title":{"rendered":"La agencia JCR ratific\u00f3 la calificaci\u00f3n de M\u00e9xico en \u201cA-\u201d con perspectiva Estable"},"content":{"rendered":"

Destac\u00f3 que se ha logrado una posici\u00f3n favorable, pues la recuperaci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda continu\u00f3 y la inflaci\u00f3n se ha controlado.<\/strong><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

La agencia calificadora Japan Credit Rating Agency (JCR) ratific\u00f3 la calificaci\u00f3n crediticia de M\u00e9xico en \u201cA-\u201d, con perspectiva Estable, de cara a las elecciones presidenciales del pr\u00f3ximo 2 de junio donde la instituci\u00f3n japonesa precis\u00f3 que las seguir\u00e1 de cerca para ver la direcci\u00f3n que tomar\u00e1 la siguiente administraci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cLas calificaciones est\u00e1n respaldadas por la s\u00f3lida base industrial del pa\u00eds orientada a las exportaciones, sus pol\u00edticas monetarias y cambiarias flexibles y \u00e1giles y su alta resiliencia a los shocks externos\u201d, indic\u00f3 la agencia.<\/span><\/p>\n

Por otro lado, JCR sostiene que est\u00e1n limitados por la industria petrolera del pa\u00eds que necesita modernizaci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n

La agencia destac\u00f3 que, pese al entorno internacional de incertidumbre, M\u00e9xico ha logrado tener una posici\u00f3n favorable, en donde la recuperaci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda continu\u00f3 y la inflaci\u00f3n se ha logrado controlar, aunque a\u00fan falta que regrese al objetivo del Banco de M\u00e9xico de 3% +\/-1 punto porcentual.<\/span><\/p>\n

Destac\u00f3 la disciplina fiscal con la cual se ha manejado el gobierno federal, incluso durante la peor parte de la pandemia, en donde evit\u00f3 la contrataci\u00f3n de mayor deuda.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cLa relaci\u00f3n deuda PIB aumentar\u00e1 en el 2024 a medida de que el d\u00e9ficit presupuestario se expanda temporalmente debido al aumento del gasto y los pagos de intereses asociados con la ampliaci\u00f3n de las pol\u00edticas prioritarias, pero se mantendr\u00e1 la disciplina fiscal con un crecimiento econ\u00f3mico moderado para el 2025\u201d, consign\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n

Por su parte, la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico (SHCP) indic\u00f3 que la ratificaci\u00f3n de la calificaci\u00f3n refleja el compromiso del gobierno federal con el buen manejo de las finanzas p\u00fablicas para continuar con un acceso favorable a los mercados financieros nacionales e internacionales.<\/span><\/p>\n

Las estimaciones oficiales del gobierno exponen que, este a\u00f1o, la econom\u00eda volver\u00e1 a crecer 3%, lo cual ha sido considerado optimista, sobre todo ante los datos de un enfriamiento de la actividad econ\u00f3mica.<\/span><\/p>\n

En tanto, el gobierno espera que este a\u00f1o el Saldo Hist\u00f3rico de los Requerimientos Financieros del Sector P\u00fablico, esto es la deuda en su medida m\u00e1s amplia, se ubique en 50.2% del PIB, mientras que los Requerimientos Financieros del Sector P\u00fablico ser\u00edan de 5.9% del PIB, el mayor nivel en d\u00e9cadas y lo han atribuido al gasto para terminar las grandes obras de infraestructura, tales como el Tren Maya y el Istmo de Tehuantepec, entre otras.<\/span><\/p>\n

Con este anuncio, M\u00e9xico mantiene el grado de inversi\u00f3n en las ocho agencias que eval\u00faan su deuda.<\/span><\/p>\n

M\u00e9xico tiene ocho<\/strong><\/span>
\nS\u00f3lo dos notas crediticias para acceder al mercado<\/span>
\nPara que M\u00e9xico tenga acceso al mercado internacional debe contar con la calificaci\u00f3n de, al menos, dos agencias conforme lo marcan las regulaciones operaci\u00f3n global.<\/span><\/p>\n

Mientras mayor sea la calificaci\u00f3n soberana, menor ser\u00e1 el costo de fondeo y el emisor como M\u00e9xico, cumplir\u00e1 con el requisito para acceder a fondeo de menor precio, bajo condiciones de financiamiento m\u00e1s competitivas y tendr\u00e1 para escoger mayor oferta de financiamiento.<\/span><\/p>\n

En el mundo hay 50 calificadoras de cr\u00e9dito y las tres que dominan el mercado por tener un mayor n\u00famero de Estados calificados son Standard & Poor\u00b4s (128); Fitch (119) y Moody\u00b4s (109 pa\u00edses)<\/span><\/p>\n

Son ocho las calificadoras supervisadas por la Comisi\u00f3n Nacional Bancaria y de Valores (CNBV) en el marco de la Ley del Mercado de Valores y la Ley General de Sociedades Mercantiles: Standard &Poor\u00b4s (S&P) Global Rating; Fitch Ratings; Moody\u00b4s de M\u00e9xico; HR Ratings de M\u00e9xico; Verum; DBRS; KBRA as\u00ed como Japan Credit Rating Agency.<\/span><\/p>\n

El presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador dijo en el 2019 que M\u00e9xico paga unos 300 millones de d\u00f3lares a las tres mayores agencias de calificaci\u00f3n por sus servicios: Moody\u00b4s, Fitch y S&P, pero esta informaci\u00f3n no es p\u00fablica.<\/span><\/p>\n

Las notas de Japan Rating Agency, HR Ratings, Verum, KBRA y DBRS, se realizan como acciones de calificaci\u00f3n no solicitadas pero \u00fatiles para referencia de otros emisores.<\/span><\/p>\n

Levantar deuda es una forma de recabar fondeo o financiamiento en el mercado a partir de la emisi\u00f3n de t\u00edtulos financieros que prometen un pago futuro a cambio de un precio.<\/span><\/p>\n

El futuro emisor de deuda es quien debe contratar el servicio de las calificadoras, lo que genera un riesgo de conflicto de inter\u00e9s como lo han se\u00f1alado el Fondo Monetario Internacional y el Banco Internacional de Pagos.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u00bfQui\u00e9n es el emisor?<\/strong><\/span>
\nLos emisores de deuda son Estados soberanos o pa\u00edses, corporativos financieros y no financieros, gobiernos subsoberanos como entidades federativas y municipales, as\u00ed como empresas paraestatales<\/span><\/p>\n

Las calificaciones de deuda son otorgadas por compa\u00f1\u00edas dedicadas a evaluar la capacidad de pago del emisor y la probabilidad de cumplimiento de su compromiso.<\/span><\/p>\n

Estudios del BIS, el banco central de los bancos centrales, muestran que los bonos soberanos de m\u00e1s alta calificaci\u00f3n y m\u00e1s baja calificaci\u00f3n son m\u00e1s sensibles a los anuncios de calificaci\u00f3n crediticia.<\/span><\/p>\n

En otras palabras, los tenedores de bonos con alta calificaci\u00f3n suelen responder fuertemente a los recortes de nota, deshaciendo posiciones, es decir, vendiendo. (Con informaci\u00f3n de Yolanda Morales)<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Destac\u00f3 que se ha logrado una posici\u00f3n favorable, pues la recuperaci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda continu\u00f3 y la inflaci\u00f3n se ha […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":38822,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-38821","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nLa agencia JCR ratific\u00f3 la calificaci\u00f3n de M\u00e9xico en \u201cA-\u201d con perspectiva Estable - 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