{"id":39269,"date":"2024-06-06T08:38:30","date_gmt":"2024-06-06T13:38:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=39269"},"modified":"2024-06-06T08:38:30","modified_gmt":"2024-06-06T13:38:30","slug":"el-mercado-como-contrapeso-es-parte-de-las-reglas-de-la-flotacion-iif","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/06\/06\/el-mercado-como-contrapeso-es-parte-de-las-reglas-de-la-flotacion-iif\/","title":{"rendered":"El mercado como contrapeso es parte de las reglas de la flotaci\u00f3n: IIF"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ser\u00e1 el mercado quien otorgar\u00e1 los contrapesos necesarios en M\u00e9xico para mantener la disciplina econ\u00f3mica y promover una mejora en la calidad de las pol\u00edticas p\u00fablicas, confi\u00f3 Mart\u00edn Castellano, director de Investigaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica para Am\u00e9rica Latina en el Instituto de Finanzas Internacionales (IIF, por su sigla en ingl\u00e9s).<\/span><\/p>\n

Ser\u00e1 el mercado quien otorgar\u00e1 los contrapesos necesarios en M\u00e9xico para mantener la disciplina econ\u00f3mica y promover una mejora en la calidad de las pol\u00edticas p\u00fablicas, confi\u00f3 Mart\u00edn Castellano, director de Investigaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica para Am\u00e9rica Latina en el Instituto de Finanzas Internacionales (IIF, por su sigla en ingl\u00e9s).<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cM\u00e9xico es una de las econom\u00edas m\u00e1s abiertas comparada con otros pa\u00edses de la regi\u00f3n como Brasil, con una mayor apertura comercial que otros emergentes. Tiene una cuenta de capitales que se mueven sin restricci\u00f3n y gestiona una de las monedas emergentes m\u00e1s negociadas en el mundo. Sin duda estas caracter\u00edsticas generar\u00e1n incentivos en los responsables de articular la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica para mantener la disciplina\u201d, afirm\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n

Reconoci\u00f3 que el mercado se encuentra un poco ansioso por el resultado electoral, particularmente el que otorga una mayor\u00eda al partido gobernante en el Congreso.<\/span><\/p>\n

Desde su perspectiva, la disciplina econ\u00f3mica como la que ha caracterizado a M\u00e9xico por a\u00f1os, ha permitido mantener estabilidad macroecon\u00f3mica.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cLos mercados reaccionan enseguida, generando efectos en precios, en tasas de inter\u00e9s. En el costo de financiamiento y al final del d\u00eda en la actividad econ\u00f3mica. (El mercado) es un factor particularmente relevante para M\u00e9xico que puede favorecer la disciplina econ\u00f3mica y al final del d\u00eda termina generando una mejora en la calidad de la pol\u00edtica econ\u00f3mica\u201d, subray\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n

Explic\u00f3 que esta apertura del mercado va a propiciar una mejora en la calidad de las pol\u00edticas p\u00fablicas, lo que es relevante en el contexto donde se otorg\u00f3 la mayor\u00eda al partido gobernante en el Congreso, v\u00eda elecciones.<\/span><\/p>\n

Volatilidad del peso<\/strong><\/span>
\nDesde su perspectiva, la volatilidad que ha tenido el tipo de cambio, tras conocerse el resultado electoral, particularmente el que dio la mayor\u00eda en el Congreso al partido gobernante, es parte de las reglas del juego en un sistema de flotaci\u00f3n de la moneda.<\/span><\/p>\n

Refiri\u00f3 que la fluctuaci\u00f3n del tipo de cambio responde a las condiciones del mercado y es natural ver que se mueva cuando hay choques de diversa \u00edndole.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cLo que pasa es que ya ten\u00edan un par de a\u00f1os recibiendo la volatilidad que se mov\u00eda en la direcci\u00f3n contraria, el peso se mov\u00eda en una sola direcci\u00f3n, pero un tipo de cambio flotante es parte de la regla del juego (en la flotaci\u00f3n cambiaria) y si se piensa bien, el ajuste del tipo de cambio es una medida saludable dado el esquema de pol\u00edtica monetaria que sigue M\u00e9xico\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Descart\u00f3 que sea tan claro el efecto que tendr\u00e1 en la decisi\u00f3n del Banco de M\u00e9xico de analizar recortes en la tasa si persiste la volatilidad del tipo de cambio.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cEl banco central tiene un objetivo de estabilidad de precios donde la inflaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 todav\u00eda por encima de la meta y adem\u00e1s tiene un objetivo secundario, pero no menor, de estabilidad financiera. El tipo de cambio juega un rol para mantener el funcionamiento ordenado del mercados financieros y depender\u00e1 de como eval\u00faan el traspaso a precios de las fluctuaciones del tipo de cambio\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nearshoring, otro incentivo<\/span>
\nEl experto destac\u00f3 que la relocalizaci\u00f3n de multinacionales para acercar la cadena de suministro al mercado final, el llamado nearshoring, ha sido ya un factor de impulso econ\u00f3mico para M\u00e9xico y est\u00e1 considerado en su expectativa de crecimiento para \u00e9ste y el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o.<\/span><\/p>\n

Para la mayor asociaci\u00f3n de instituciones financieras globales, el PIB mexicano registrar\u00e1 un crecimiento de 2.3% para este a\u00f1o y de 2% en el 2025. Ambas previsiones se encuentran por arriba del promedio de mercado que, seg\u00fan la encuesta de Citibanamex est\u00e1 en 2.2% y 1.8%, respectivamente.<\/span><\/p>\n

Su pron\u00f3stico para el primer a\u00f1o de gobierno, incorpora condiciones menos apretadas en el mercado mundial, a partir de una posible disminuci\u00f3n de las tasas de inter\u00e9s.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ser\u00e1 el mercado quien otorgar\u00e1 los contrapesos necesarios en M\u00e9xico para mantener la disciplina econ\u00f3mica y promover una mejora en […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":39270,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39269","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nEl mercado como contrapeso es parte de las reglas de la flotaci\u00f3n: IIF - 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