{"id":39584,"date":"2024-06-11T07:40:37","date_gmt":"2024-06-11T12:40:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=39584"},"modified":"2024-06-11T07:40:37","modified_gmt":"2024-06-11T12:40:37","slug":"el-error-de-septiembre","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/06\/11\/el-error-de-septiembre\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfEl error de septiembre?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Por Aurelio Contreras Moreno<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

Las \u00faltimas tres veces que representantes de alto nivel del r\u00e9gimen gobernante han salido a hablar de la intenci\u00f3n de aprobar en septiembre el paquete de reformas presentado por el presidente L\u00f3pez Obrador desde el pasado mes de febrero, han provocado una reacci\u00f3n negativa de los mercados y una ca\u00edda del hasta hace poco muy cacareado \u201cs\u00faper peso\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

El viernes de la semana anterior, Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador sali\u00f3 pr\u00e1cticamente a \u201ccarajear\u201d a la virtual presidenta electa Claudia Sheinbaum, luego de que \u00e9sta anunciara que las reformas, especialmente la del Poder Judicial, ser\u00edan discutidas antes de ser aprobadas, con la intenci\u00f3n de dar confianza a los inversionistas que comenzaron a sacar su dinero de M\u00e9xico tras la incontinencia verbal de los todav\u00eda coordinadores de las bancadas de Morena en las c\u00e1maras de Diputados y de Senadores, que adelantaron la \u201caplanadora\u201d que se viene en septiembre, cuando asuma el nuevo Congreso.<\/span><\/p>\n

L\u00f3pez Obrador \u2013quien se siente m\u00e1s all\u00e1 del bien y del mal- rechaz\u00f3 que se le pueda hacer ya no digamos una modificaci\u00f3n a su iniciativa que en los hechos sepulta la divisi\u00f3n de poderes y partidiza la impartici\u00f3n de justicia, sino ni siquiera darle un matiz menos radical.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cLa justicia est\u00e1 por encima de los mercados\u201d, dijo L\u00f3pez Obrador, como para que lo escucharan quienes tienen dudas de que no va a ceder. Y a\u00f1adi\u00f3: \u201ces como cuando se tiene que optar entre derecho y justicia, o cuando tienes que optar entre progreso y esclavitud, o sea, son cosas de definici\u00f3n. Adem\u00e1s la gente quiere eso\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

Su arenga le caus\u00f3 al peso su segundo descalabro de la semana, llegando a cotizarse hasta 18.30 pesos por d\u00f3lar. Una depreciaci\u00f3n de 2.29 por ciento respecto de la devaluaci\u00f3n de la jornada anterior.<\/span><\/p>\n

Es m\u00e1s que claro que los inversionistas, nacionales y extranjeros, ven con desconfianza y preocupaci\u00f3n la escalada autoritaria que supone la concentraci\u00f3n de todo el poder en un solo bando pol\u00edtico, y lo que \u00e9ste ya adelant\u00f3 que pretende hacer con ese poder ilimitado que le dio el electorado. Y si sienten que su dinero no est\u00e1 seguro en un pa\u00eds que no les ofrece garant\u00edas legales y que a las primeras de cambio se lo puede adue\u00f1ar, resulta obvio que se lo van a llevar.<\/span><\/p>\n

En esa claridad es que este lunes Claudia Sheinbaum acudi\u00f3 a Palacio Nacional a encontrarse con L\u00f3pez Obrador y hablar, principalmente, de c\u00f3mo abordar lo que se puede convertir en una crisis financiera de proporciones todav\u00eda incalculables si, como respuesta a la aprobaci\u00f3n de las reformas que tambi\u00e9n desaparecen los organismos aut\u00f3nomos que garantizan el derecho a la informaci\u00f3n, como el INAI, y que miden la pobreza y el desarrollo, como el Coneval, la fuga de capitales fuera masiva.<\/span><\/p>\n

El mensaje que Sheinbaum ofreci\u00f3 luego de su reuni\u00f3n con L\u00f3pez Obrador indica que la posici\u00f3n del jefe del Movimiento de Regeneraci\u00f3n Nacional se mantuvo inflexible: sus reformas se aprueban antes de que \u00e9l se vaya, otra muestra de que hasta esa regla no escrita del sistema pol\u00edtico mexicano de que el presidente saliente se repliega y le deja su propio espacio al sucesor para que vaya tomando las amarras del poder, ha sido rota por el obradorato.<\/span><\/p>\n

Sheinbaum intent\u00f3 plantearlo de manera que no sonara a lo que es: ante los medios asegur\u00f3 que habr\u00e1 una \u201cdiscusi\u00f3n amplia en todo el pa\u00eds\u201d sobre la iniciativa de reforma judicial en la que se consultar\u00e1 con barras de abogados, facultades de derecho, ministros, magistrados, trabajadores del Poder Judicial y universidades.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cQueremos que la reforma se conozca, eso es importante, que se abra un espacio de di\u00e1logo y conocimiento en todo el pa\u00eds\u201d, manifest\u00f3 Sheinbaum, intentando evitar otra marejada financiera. Pero en lo que hablaba, el d\u00f3lar lleg\u00f3 a cotizarse hasta en 18.53 pesos.<\/span><\/p>\n

La raz\u00f3n es simple: durante todo el sexenio qued\u00f3 claro que esas \u201cconsultas\u201d con expertos, que los parlamentos abiertos en el Congreso, son totalmente in\u00fatiles, una p\u00e9rdida de tiempo: el \u201camado l\u00edder\u201d exige que sus iniciativas se aprueben sin moverles una coma, sin espacio a la negociaci\u00f3n. Y si lo hizo as\u00ed sin contar con mayor\u00eda calificada, ahora, con unas c\u00e1maras totalmente dominadas por Morena, no lo dudar\u00e1 ni un instante.<\/span><\/p>\n

Pero de eso a que no existan consecuencias, hay un largo trecho. No por nada varios analistas ya hablan del \u201cerror de septiembre\u201d si se consuma la destrucci\u00f3n de las instituciones de la transici\u00f3n democr\u00e1tica que agoniza.<\/span><\/p>\n

Que nadie se diga sorprendido o que no lo vio venir.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Por Aurelio Contreras Moreno Las \u00faltimas tres veces que representantes de alto nivel del r\u00e9gimen gobernante han salido a hablar […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":4397,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-39584","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-columnistas"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00bfEl error de septiembre? 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