{"id":40003,"date":"2024-06-17T08:28:42","date_gmt":"2024-06-17T13:28:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=40003"},"modified":"2024-06-17T08:28:42","modified_gmt":"2024-06-17T13:28:42","slug":"sequia-impacta-produccion-agropecuaria-de-las-regiones-del-pais","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/06\/17\/sequia-impacta-produccion-agropecuaria-de-las-regiones-del-pais\/","title":{"rendered":"Sequ\u00eda impacta producci\u00f3n agropecuaria de las regiones del pa\u00eds"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Al primer trimestre del 2024, las mayores afectaciones se observan en cultivos como ma\u00edz grano, aguacate y ca\u00f1a de az\u00facar.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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Durante el primer trimestre de 2024, la actividad agropecuaria nacional decreci\u00f3 6.1%, cuyas regiones m\u00e1s afectadas fueron norte y centro con ca\u00eddas trimestrales de 11.6 y 7.8% respectivamente.<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Las condiciones de sequ\u00eda en los principales estados productores tuvieron un impacto en los vol\u00famenes, de acuerdo con el Reporte sobre las econom\u00edas regionales, al primer trimestre de 2024 del Banco de M\u00e9xico (Banxico).<\/span><\/p>\n

El informe de Banxico mide la actividad econ\u00f3mica en seis indicadores, de los cuales el sector agropecuario fue el que m\u00e1s cay\u00f3, con una disminuci\u00f3n en todo del pa\u00eds; las regiones centro norte baj\u00f3 3.3% y la sur, 2.1 por ciento.<\/span><\/p>\n

En la regi\u00f3n norte, que comprende Baja California, Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo Le\u00f3n, Sonora y Tamaulipas, la sequ\u00eda ha impactado la producci\u00f3n agr\u00edcola, especialmente los cultivos industriales y forrajes, seg\u00fan productores consultados por Banxico.<\/span><\/p>\n

La superficie dedicada al sorgo se redujo debido a los bajos precios de venta durante la siembra y los efectos adversos de la sequ\u00eda en los rendimientos; a mayo del 2024, este producto fue uno de los m\u00e1s expuestos a la sequ\u00eda, principalmente en las regiones centro y centro norte.<\/span><\/p>\n

La producci\u00f3n de frutas y hortalizas tambi\u00e9n disminuy\u00f3 notablemente, con productos como la cebolla y el chile verde afectados. Heladas y lluvias extempor\u00e1neas han exacerbado la situaci\u00f3n, resultando en menores vol\u00famenes de cosecha de esp\u00e1rrago y otros cultivos.<\/span><\/p>\n

Los desaf\u00edos<\/span><\/p>\n

En el centro del pa\u00eds, la sequ\u00eda ha tenido un fuerte impacto en la producci\u00f3n de ma\u00edz forrajero, particularmente en Guanajuato, Quer\u00e9taro y Puebla. Los agricultores tambi\u00e9n enfrentan desaf\u00edos con la producci\u00f3n de br\u00f3coli, fresa, pepino y tomate rojo.<\/span><\/p>\n

En el centro norte del pa\u00eds, la producci\u00f3n agr\u00edcola tiene desaf\u00edos similares debido a las condiciones clim\u00e1ticas adversas. La producci\u00f3n de tomate verde se vio afectada por heladas en el norte de Sinaloa, mientras que la sequ\u00eda merm\u00f3 el desarrollo de las huertas de aguacate en Michoac\u00e1n.<\/span><\/p>\n

De acuerdo con el an\u00e1lisis de Banxico, a mayo del 2024, 80.3% de la producci\u00f3n agr\u00edcola nacional podr\u00eda haber estado expuesta a condiciones de sequ\u00eda, en su nivel m\u00e1ximo, muy por encima del promedio del 2020. Los cultivos m\u00e1s expuestos son el ma\u00edz grano, del aguacate, la ca\u00f1a de az\u00facar, el jitomate y el agave, en ese orden.<\/span><\/p>\n

Los niveles de exposici\u00f3n a la sequ\u00eda de diversos cultivos han permanecido elevados debido a la persistencia de condiciones secas en todas las regiones del pa\u00eds.<\/span><\/p>\n

En particular, se destaca el aumento significativo en la afectaci\u00f3n del sur en cultivos como lim\u00f3n y ca\u00f1a de az\u00facar desde finales del 2023 hasta los primeros meses del 2024, as\u00ed como la influencia del centro en la sequ\u00eda experimentada por trigo, alfalfa y sorgo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Aunque algunos cultivos como ma\u00edz grano, frijol, trigo, jitomate, papa y cebolla mostraron una disminuci\u00f3n en la exposici\u00f3n a la sequ\u00eda en abril de 2024 con el inicio de la temporada de lluvias, estos niveles volvieron a incrementarse en mayo de 2024. Durante este mes, se reportaron niveles de exposici\u00f3n superiores al 70% en la mayor\u00eda de los cultivos, alcanzando incluso m\u00e1s del 90% en fresa, aguacate y sorgo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Baja en la demanda<\/span>
\nEn el norte del pa\u00eds, la disminuci\u00f3n en el cultivo de algod\u00f3n se atribuye a una menor demanda de la industria textil y a los altos costos laborales asociados con su cultivo.<\/span><\/p>\n

En las regiones centrales, espec\u00edficamente, se observ\u00f3 una ca\u00edda en las cosechas de agave, provocada por una menor demanda de la industria tequilera debido al exceso de inventarios de la bebida.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tanto en el norte como en las regiones centrales, tambi\u00e9n se report\u00f3 una contracci\u00f3n en la producci\u00f3n de frutas, tub\u00e9rculos, hortalizas y plantas ornamentales.<\/span><\/p>\n

Las fuentes entrevistadas dijeron que esta reducci\u00f3n se debi\u00f3 a una menor rentabilidad esperada en las operaciones de exportaci\u00f3n, influenciada por la apreciaci\u00f3n acumulada del peso frente al d\u00f3lar.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ganader\u00eda<\/span>
\nEn tanto, en las regiones norte y centro norte del pa\u00eds la producci\u00f3n pecuaria mostr\u00f3 una expansi\u00f3n significativa, la demanda interna se mantuvo robusta, favorecida por la reducci\u00f3n de costos en materias primas clave como el ma\u00edz amarillo y la soya, cuyas cotizaciones internacionales disminuyeron.<\/span><\/p>\n

Adicionalmente, la apreciaci\u00f3n del peso frente al d\u00f3lar permiti\u00f3 a los productores ampliar sus inventarios de carne bovina, as\u00ed como incrementar la producci\u00f3n de carne de ave y huevo en el centro norte, y de carne de cerdo en ambas regiones.<\/span><\/p>\n

En contraste, la producci\u00f3n pecuaria en la regi\u00f3n centro disminuy\u00f3 por temperaturas superiores al promedio, afectando al ganado bovino y av\u00edcola.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Al primer trimestre del 2024, las mayores afectaciones se observan en cultivos como ma\u00edz grano, aguacate y ca\u00f1a de az\u00facar. 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