{"id":41989,"date":"2024-07-15T08:45:01","date_gmt":"2024-07-15T13:45:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=41989"},"modified":"2024-07-15T08:45:01","modified_gmt":"2024-07-15T13:45:01","slug":"inflacion-argentina-reboto-a-4-6-mensual-durante-junio","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/07\/15\/inflacion-argentina-reboto-a-4-6-mensual-durante-junio\/","title":{"rendered":"Inflaci\u00f3n argentina rebot\u00f3 a 4.6% mensual durante junio"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El resultado est\u00e1 en l\u00ednea con las proyecciones que ten\u00edan el Gobierno y las principales consultoras que daban por hecho que el dato del sexto mes del a\u00f1o ser\u00eda el primero en la gesti\u00f3n de Javier Milei en marcar un repunte luego de cinco meses en los que se observ\u00f3 una paulatina desaceleraci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El Instituto Nacional de Estad\u00edstica y Censos (INDEC) de Argentina dio a conocer este viernes el \u00cdndice de Precios al Consumidor (IPC) que marca la inflaci\u00f3n del pasado mes de junio, que seg\u00fan los datos oficiales fue del 4.6%, y acumul\u00f3 en el primer semestre del a\u00f1o una variaci\u00f3n de 79.8 por ciento. En la comparaci\u00f3n interanual, el incremento alcanz\u00f3 el 271.5 por ciento.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">La divisi\u00f3n de mayor aumento en el mes fue Vivienda, agua, electricidad, gas y otros combustibles (14.3%), por las subas en las tarifas de electricidad y gas y en alquiler de la vivienda. Le siguieron Restaurantes y hoteles (6.3%) y Educaci\u00f3n (5.7%) por subas en todos los niveles de ense\u00f1anza.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Las dos divisiones que registraron las menores variaciones en junio fueron Bebidas alcoh\u00f3licas y tabaco (2.1%) y Equipamiento y mantenimiento del hogar (2.3%).<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">A nivel de las categor\u00edas, Regulados (8.1%) lider\u00f3 el incremento, seguida por Estacionales (4.4%) y el IPC N\u00facleo (3.7%). La mayor alza de precios se produjo en la regi\u00f3n de Cuyo, donde subieron 5.1%.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Tanto el Gobierno como las principales proyecciones daban por hecho que junio ser\u00eda el primer mes en la gesti\u00f3n de Javier Milei en marcar un rebote, ya que, desde el 25.5% del pasado diciembre, el IPC siempre mantuvo su tendencia a la baja: diciembre: 25.5%; enero: 20.6%; febrero: 13,2%; marzo: 11%; abril: 8.8%; mayo: 4.2 por ciento.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Las proyecciones de las consultoras tambi\u00e9n se mostraron de acuerdo en que el dato de junio superar\u00eda al 4.2% de mayo, n\u00famero ayudado por el atraso en los aumentos de tarifas y de los impuestos al combustible que dispuso Luis Caputo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Esto marcar\u00eda el inicio de un sendero de inflaci\u00f3n \u201cestancada\u201d entre un 5.5% y un 4% para el resto del 2024, mismo escenario que viene marcando el Relevamiento de Expectativas de Mercado (REM) que publica mes a mes el Banco Central.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Sin embargo, el Gobierno apuesta a reducir el IPC a n\u00fameros m\u00e1s cercanos al 2% para que esta tasa converja con el crawling peg que mantiene sobre el d\u00f3lar oficial desde la llegada al poder de Milei, para luego alcanzar un 0% en ambos indicadores y, una vez logrado esto, abrir el cepo cambiario. As\u00ed lo defini\u00f3 el mismo Presidente a trav\u00e9s de sus redes esta semana.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Aunque las principales consultoras del pa\u00eds calcularon la inflaci\u00f3n de junio entre un 4.9% y un 5.6%, el Gobierno se mostr\u00f3 confiado de que este \u00edndice se posicionara por debajo del 5%: as\u00ed lo definieron tanto Caputo como Milei este jueves.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El resultado est\u00e1 en l\u00ednea con las proyecciones que ten\u00edan el Gobierno y las principales consultoras que daban por hecho 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