{"id":42431,"date":"2024-07-21T02:09:19","date_gmt":"2024-07-21T07:09:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=42431"},"modified":"2024-07-21T02:09:19","modified_gmt":"2024-07-21T07:09:19","slug":"tendran-sobrerrepresentacion-morena-y-aliados-en-el-congreso-esto-dicen-especialistas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/07\/21\/tendran-sobrerrepresentacion-morena-y-aliados-en-el-congreso-esto-dicen-especialistas\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00bfTendr\u00e1n sobrerrepresentaci\u00f3n Morena y aliados en el Congreso? Esto dicen especialistas"},"content":{"rendered":"
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El Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE) distribuir\u00e1 a m\u00e1s tardar el 23 de agosto las\u00a0diputaciones y senadur\u00edas plurinominales\u00a0que corresponden a cada partido y el instituto proyecta que\u00a0Morena,\u00a0Partido Verde y Partido del Trabajo\u00a0obtendr\u00edan hasta 364 diputaciones y 83 senadur\u00edas, es decir, mayor\u00eda calificada con la que podr\u00edan modificar la Constituci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n

La oposici\u00f3n ha acusado que el partido oficialista y sus aliados tendr\u00e1n\u00a0sobrerrepresentaci\u00f3n en la C\u00e1mara de Diputados\u00a0y Morena e incluso la secretaria de Gobernaci\u00f3n, Luisa Mar\u00eda Alcalde, lo han negado, sin embargo, es en la interpretaci\u00f3n de la Constituci\u00f3n donde est\u00e1 el debate.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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El art\u00edculo 54 de la Constituci\u00f3n establece que\u00a0ning\u00fan partido pol\u00edtico puede exceder los 300 diputados por ambos principios, mayor\u00eda relativa y representaci\u00f3n proporcional, ni pueden tener un n\u00famero de diputados, por ambos principios, cuyo porcentaje respecto al total de legisladores exceda el ocho por ciento del porcentaje de votaci\u00f3n nacional emitida a su favor; en caso de que un partido supere estos l\u00edmites estar\u00eda sobrerrepresentado.<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Benito Nacif, exconsejero del INE y profesor de la divisi\u00f3n de Estudios Pol\u00edticos del CIDE, indic\u00f3 en entrevista con\u00a0El Sol de M\u00e9xico\u00a0que la discusi\u00f3n en este momento es \u201csi ese l\u00edmite aplica de igual manera a las coaliciones que a los partidos pol\u00edticos\u201d, pues en las asignaciones de diputaciones plurinominales que ha hecho el INE con anterioridad ha limitado la sobrerrepresentaci\u00f3n de los partidos y no de las coaliciones.<\/span><\/p>\n

De acuerdo con las proyecciones del INE,\u00a0Morena tendr\u00eda 236 diputaciones, Partido Verde 77 y Partido del Trabajo 51,\u00a0es decir, por s\u00ed mismos no superar\u00edan el l\u00edmite establecido por la Constituci\u00f3n; sin embargo, los tres fueron en coalici\u00f3n y votar\u00e1n en coalici\u00f3n las reformas del presidente Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador, entre ellas la reforma al Poder Judicial para elegir a ministros de la Suprema Corte, magistrados y jueces por voto popular, por lo que exconsejeros de la autoridad electoral consideraron que tendr\u00eda que ponerse un l\u00edmite a la coalici\u00f3n para que no est\u00e9 sobrerrepresentada.<\/span><\/p>\n

Para Leonardo Vald\u00e9s Zurita, exconsejero del entonces Instituto Federal Electoral (IFE), la interpretaci\u00f3n correcta que debe dar el Tribunal Electoral del Poder Judicial de la Federaci\u00f3n (TEPJF), cuando resuelva las impugnaciones en contra del reparto de pluris, es que \u201cla coalici\u00f3n no puede estar sobrerrepresentada por m\u00e1s de ocho puntos porcentuales, de tal suerte que no pueda tener mayor\u00eda calificada de dos tercios para poder cambiar por s\u00ed misma la Constituci\u00f3n\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

El expresidente del IFE indic\u00f3 que la\u00a0sobrerrepresentaci\u00f3n que podr\u00edan obtener Morena y aliados es sui generis, pues el voto en elecciones anteriores hab\u00eda estado fragmentado y en la jornada electoral del 2 de julio el porcentaje de votos en la elecci\u00f3n de diputados que alcanz\u00f3 el bloque oficialista fue del 54.7 por ciento,<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201c(En 2012) no ten\u00edamos este debate porque no hab\u00eda riesgo de que esa coalici\u00f3n pudiera tener mayor\u00eda calificada por s\u00ed misma para modificar la Constituci\u00f3n, todo lo contrario, era la m\u00e1s grande de las minor\u00edas pero ni siquiera ten\u00eda mayor\u00eda en la C\u00e1mara de Diputados, era la etapa de aquello que se llamaba gobiernos divididos, donde el partido del presidente no ten\u00eda mayor\u00eda ni en C\u00e1mara de Diputados ni en C\u00e1mara de Senadores\u201d, dijo.<\/span><\/p>\n

Vald\u00e9s Zurita advirti\u00f3 que si se cumplen las proyecciones del INE, Morena y aliados tendr\u00edan una\u00a0sobrerrepresentaci\u00f3n\u00a0de poco m\u00e1s de 20 puntos, por lo que dijo el Tribunal Electoral debe tener una reflexi\u00f3n \u201cde la historia y de c\u00f3mo se construy\u00f3 el sistema de representaci\u00f3n pol\u00edtica que es fundamental para que exista y sobreviva nuestra democracia\u201d.<\/span><\/p>\n

En tanto, Benito Nacif record\u00f3 que el TEPJF resolvi\u00f3 en 2018 aplicar el l\u00edmite a la sobrerrepresentaci\u00f3n por partido y no por coalici\u00f3n; sin embargo, estim\u00f3 que en este nuevo caso el Tribunal Electoral tendr\u00eda que considerar los criterios que ha establecido la Suprema Corte de Justicia de la Naci\u00f3n (SCJN) en esta materia y que el propio presidente\u00a0Andr\u00e9s Manuel L\u00f3pez Obrador\u00a0contribuy\u00f3 a construir..<\/span><\/p>\n

Nacif explic\u00f3 que derivada de la acci\u00f3n de inconstitucionalidad 6\/1998 presentada por L\u00f3pez Obrador, en ese entonces presidente nacional del PRD, en contra del Congreso y el Gobierno de Quintana Roo, la ministra Olga S\u00e1nchez Cordero \u30fcque hoy milita en Morena\u30fc estableci\u00f3 que las leyes en materia de asignaci\u00f3n de diputaciones y senadur\u00edas plurinominales no deben aplicarse s\u00f3lo de manera textual sino atender fines objetivos de la representaci\u00f3n proporcional que es garantizar la pluralidad.<\/span><\/p>\n

El\u00a0exconsejero del INE\u00a0indic\u00f3 que ese criterio marca la ruta para resolver la disputa por la asignaci\u00f3n de diputaciones plurinominales.<\/span><\/p>\n

\u201cLo que el criterio dice es: uno, no lo interpretes literalmente; dos, interpretalo de tal manera que trates de acercar el porcentaje de votaci\u00f3n y el porcentaje de la C\u00e1mara de Diputados; y tres, trates de limitar al partido dominante, no en este caso yo dir\u00eda la coalici\u00f3n. El criterio marca claramente una ruta para interpretar y decidir si eximes a las coaliciones de esos l\u00edmites establecidos en el art\u00edculo 54\u201d, detall\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/article>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE) distribuir\u00e1 a m\u00e1s tardar el 23 de agosto las\u00a0diputaciones y senadur\u00edas plurinominales\u00a0que corresponden a cada […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":42432,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[33],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nacional"],"yoast_head":"\n\u00bfTendr\u00e1n sobrerrepresentaci\u00f3n Morena y aliados en el Congreso? 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