{"id":44834,"date":"2024-08-25T00:11:28","date_gmt":"2024-08-25T05:11:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=44834"},"modified":"2024-08-24T15:37:51","modified_gmt":"2024-08-24T20:37:51","slug":"confirma-la-fed-que-iniciara-recortes-de-tasas-de-interes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2024\/08\/25\/confirma-la-fed-que-iniciara-recortes-de-tasas-de-interes\/","title":{"rendered":"Confirma la Fed que iniciar\u00e1 recortes de tasas de inter\u00e9s"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"s-s\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">\u00a0<q>Ha llegado el momento<\/q>\u00a0de recortar las tasas de inter\u00e9s, ya que\u00a0<q>los riesgos al alza para la inflaci\u00f3n han disminuido, y los riesgos a la baja para el empleo han aumentado<\/q>, dijo el presidente de la Reserva Federal de Estados Unidos (Fed), Jerome Powell, en su discurso de apertura en la conferencia econ\u00f3mica anual en Jackson Hole, Wyoming.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Con la inflaci\u00f3n en ruta de ser controlada y el mercado laboral enfri\u00e1ndose en la mayor econom\u00eda del mundo, la Fed est\u00e1 lista para empezar a reducir su tasa de inter\u00e9s clave de su actual rango de 5.25-5.5 por ciento, en el que permanece desde hace m\u00e1s de un a\u00f1o, el punto m\u00e1ximo en un cuarto de siglo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><q>Ha llegado el momento de ajustar la pol\u00edtica monetaria. La direcci\u00f3n del viaje es clara, y el momento y el ritmo de los recortes de tasas depender\u00e1n de los datos que se vayan recibiendo, la evoluci\u00f3n de las perspectivas y el balance de riesgos<\/q>, indic\u00f3 Powell en el tan esperado discurso en el encuentro anual de banqueros centrales, organizado por la Fed de Kansas City.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">En referencia a los dos objetivos que el Congreso le ha encomendado a la Fed \u2013mantener controlada la inflaci\u00f3n y estimular el empleo\u2013 Powell asegur\u00f3 que su\u00a0<q>confianza ha crecido en que la inflaci\u00f3n est\u00e1 en un camino sostenible de regreso a 2 por ciento<\/q>, despu\u00e9s de haber aumentado a su punto m\u00e1ximo de 7.1 por ciento, a ra\u00edz de la pandemia de covid-19, el mayor nivel inflacionario en 40 a\u00f1os.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">La medici\u00f3n de referencia de la Fed para vigilar la inflaci\u00f3n, el \u00edndice de precios de los gastos de consumo personal, se ubica en una tasa anual de 2.5 por ciento. En tanto, la tasa de desempleo es de 4.3 por ciento, nivel que los funcionarios de la Reserva Federal consideran consistente con una inflaci\u00f3n estable a largo plazo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Si bien Powell dijo que el salto de casi un punto porcentual en la tasa de desempleo durante el a\u00f1o pasado se debi\u00f3 en gran medida al aumento de la oferta laboral y la desaceleraci\u00f3n de las contrataciones, no al aumento de los despidos; tambi\u00e9n fue enf\u00e1tico en que la Fed busca evitar una mayor erosi\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Powell no dijo cu\u00e1ndo empezar\u00e1n los recortes a las tasas o qu\u00e9 tan grandes ser\u00e1n, pero se tiene previsto que la Fed anuncie una modesta reducci\u00f3n de un cuarto de punto en su tasa de referencia cuando se re\u00fana a mediados de septiembre.<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"sumario\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\"><strong>Hacia un nuevo cap\u00edtulo<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"s-s\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">Los comentarios de Powell son lo m\u00e1s cerca que probablemente estar\u00e1 de declarar la victoria sobre el brote de inflaci\u00f3n que sacudi\u00f3 la econom\u00eda mundial al comienzo de la pandemia de covid-19.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El r\u00e1pido aumento de los precios llev\u00f3 a la Fed a aumentar su tasa de referencia desde el nivel cercano a cero, en marzo de 2022, hasta el rango actual de 5.25-5.5 por ciento, en el cual se ha mantenido durante m\u00e1s de un a\u00f1o, incluso cuando la econom\u00eda desafi\u00f3 las frecuentes predicciones de recesi\u00f3n. La inflaci\u00f3n descendi\u00f3 y el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico continu\u00f3: los ingredientes de un\u00a0<q>aterrizaje suave<\/q>\u00a0de libro de texto, con los recortes de tasas ahora a punto de comenzar.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El presidente de la Fed dijo tambi\u00e9n que si bien la econom\u00eda estadunidense sigue creciendo a un ritmo s\u00f3lido, los recortes de tasas deber\u00edan mantener el crecimiento y sostener la contrataci\u00f3n, que se ralentiz\u00f3 el mes pasado.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El crecimiento continuo de la econom\u00eda podr\u00eda impulsar la campa\u00f1a presidencial de la vicepresidenta Kamala Harris, incluso cuando la mayor\u00eda de los estadunidenses se declaran insatisfechos porque los precios en promedio siguen muy por encima de su nivel prepandemia.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt;\">El ex presidente Donald Trump ha argumentado que la Fed no deber\u00eda recortar los tipos tan cerca de las elecciones, pero Powell ha subrayado en repetidas ocasiones que el banco central tomar\u00e1 sus decisiones con base en los datos econ\u00f3micos, sin tener en cuenta el calendario pol\u00edtico.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a0Ha llegado el momento\u00a0de recortar las tasas de inter\u00e9s, ya que\u00a0los riesgos al alza para la inflaci\u00f3n han disminuido, y [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":44835,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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