{"id":53980,"date":"2025-01-09T00:09:33","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T06:09:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=53980"},"modified":"2025-01-08T22:51:03","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T04:51:03","slug":"economia-tendra-crecimiento-marginal-de-0-2-este-ano-anticipa-banamex","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/01\/09\/economia-tendra-crecimiento-marginal-de-0-2-este-ano-anticipa-banamex\/","title":{"rendered":"Econom\u00eda tendr\u00e1 crecimiento \u201cmarginal\u201d de 0.2% este a\u00f1o, anticipa Banamex"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El crecimiento de la econom\u00eda mexicana este 2025 ser\u00e1 \u201cmarginal\u201d, tan s\u00f3lo de 0.2 por ciento, anticip\u00f3 este mi\u00e9rcoles el Banco Nacional de M\u00e9xico (Banamex).<\/p>\n<p>Lo anterior ser\u00e1 resultado del debilitamiento de diversos sectores econ\u00f3micos, un deterioro en el panorama pol\u00edtico nacional que afectar\u00e1 la decisiones de inversiones y una perspectiva de una lenta recuperaci\u00f3n del sector manufacturero estadunidense, dijo el banco en una nota especial divulgada por medio de su reporte econ\u00f3mico diario.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEstimamos un crecimiento marginal del PIB de 0.2 por ciento para 2025, dada la evoluci\u00f3n reciente de los diversos sectores econ\u00f3micos, el deterioro del panorama pol\u00edtico nacional que afectar\u00e1 decisiones de inversi\u00f3n y una perspectiva de recuperaci\u00f3n lenta de las manufacturas en Estados Unidos\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3 Banamex.<\/p>\n<p>A lo anterior, plante\u00f3, se le debe sumar el restrictivo nivel de las tasas de inter\u00e9s que prevalecen en el pa\u00eds, el debilitamiento en el mercado laboral interno que tendr\u00e1 repercusiones sobre el consumo privado y el debilitamiento de la inversi\u00f3n p\u00fablica presupuestado por Hacienda para este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p>Seg\u00fan Banamex, la producci\u00f3n industrial retroceder\u00e1 uno por ciento debido a la contracci\u00f3n de la construcci\u00f3n y de la miner\u00eda, as\u00ed como un avance marginal de las manufacturas.<\/p>\n<p>Lo anterior, precis\u00f3, generar\u00e1 efectos de segundo orden sobre los servicios, para los cuales se prev\u00e9 un marginal crecimiento de 0.7 por ciento por el menor ritmo de expansi\u00f3n del comercio, el transporte, los servicios profesionales, los de informaci\u00f3n y los de alojamiento y preparaci\u00f3n de alimentos y bebidas.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cLas actividades primarias se contraer\u00e1n 0.3 por ciento en 2024, pero crecer\u00e1n 1.5 por ciento en 2025\u201d, puntualiz\u00f3 la nota, firmada por Rodolfo Ostolaza.<\/p>\n<p>No obstante, consider\u00f3 que un debilitamiento del peso con respecto al d\u00f3lar apoyar\u00e1 ser\u00e1 beneficioso para la actividad tur\u00edstica.<\/p>\n<p>De acuerdo con Banamex, para el sector de alojamiento y preparaci\u00f3n de alimentos y bebidas, la depreciaci\u00f3n de la moneda local apoyar\u00e1 a la actividad tur\u00edstica en general.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cSin embargo, la inseguridad podr\u00eda pesar en su desempe\u00f1o, por lo que el crecimiento esperado de 0.5 por ciento para 2025 ser\u00e1 insuficiente para retomar el nivel que mostraba antes de la pandemia.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAsimismo, el menor crecimiento de los ingresos de los hogares cortar\u00eda con la buena evoluci\u00f3n que han tenido los de esparcimiento, que estimamos se contraigan en tres por ciento en 2025\u201d, agreg\u00f3 Banamex.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El crecimiento de la econom\u00eda mexicana este 2025 ser\u00e1 \u201cmarginal\u201d, tan s\u00f3lo de 0.2 por ciento, anticip\u00f3 este mi\u00e9rcoles el [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":53981,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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