{"id":56166,"date":"2025-02-07T00:12:04","date_gmt":"2025-02-07T06:12:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=56166"},"modified":"2025-02-06T21:32:20","modified_gmt":"2025-02-07T03:32:20","slug":"nos-enfrentamos-a-incertidumbre-por-las-politicas-de-eu-bdem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/02\/07\/nos-enfrentamos-a-incertidumbre-por-las-politicas-de-eu-bdem\/","title":{"rendered":"\u201cNos enfrentamos a incertidumbre por las pol\u00edticas de EU\u201d: BdeM"},"content":{"rendered":"

Victoria Rodriguez Ceja, gobernadora del Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM) considera que el panorama inflacionario permitir\u00e1 que se contin\u00fae con el ciclo de recortes de tasas, manteniendo una postura restrictiva; sin embargo, reconoci\u00f3 que el instituto se enfrenta a la incertidumbre relacionada con los posibles efectos de las pol\u00edticas que pueda adoptar la nueva administraci\u00f3n de Estados Unidos, encabezada por Donald Trump.<\/p>\n

Al participar en el panel \u00abRetos futuros de la pol\u00edtica monetaria en las Am\u00e9ricas\u201d en el marco de la Conferencia Chapultepec organizada por el Banco Internacional de Pagos (BIS, por sus siglas en ingl\u00e9s), la encargada de la pol\u00edtica monetaria del pa\u00eds, destac\u00f3 que dada la alta integraci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica de M\u00e9xico y EU, si las pol\u00edticas afectan flujos comerciales y financieros, el efecto sobre la econom\u00eda mexicana ser\u00eda negativo.<\/p>\n

En contraste, explic\u00f3, los efectos sobre la inflaci\u00f3n tendr\u00edan consecuencias contraproducentes, dado que, aunque mayor debilidad econ\u00f3mica tender\u00eda a moderar los precios, una mayor depreciaci\u00f3n del tipo de cambio podr\u00eda generar presiones al alza sobre ellos.<\/p>\n

\u201cEn este sentido, las presiones inflacionarias podr\u00edan observarse tanto a la baja como al alza. Los retos que enfrentar\u00e1 la econom\u00eda mexicana en 2025 resaltan la importancia de contar con fundamentos macroecon\u00f3micos s\u00f3lidos, ya que permiten enfrentar dichos eventos desde una posici\u00f3n de resiliencia\u201d, apunt\u00f3 Rodr\u00edguez Ceja.<\/p>\n

Cuestionada sobre los riesgo suponen las tensiones comerciales para la inflaci\u00f3n en los pr\u00f3ximos a\u00f1os o en el futuro, la gobernadora del BdeM se\u00f1al\u00f3 que los periodos de mayor cooperaci\u00f3n, como el de la pandemia de covid-19, han sido una poderosa herramienta desinflacionaria tanto para M\u00e9xico como para EU.<\/p>\n

\u201cLos consumidores obtuvieron acceso a una mayor variedad de bienes m\u00e1s baratos. Y la mayor competencia de los productores extranjeros disciplin\u00f3 el proceso de formaci\u00f3n de precios. Adem\u00e1s, las empresas obtuvieron acceso a insumos de mayor calidad a precios competitivos\u201d, dijo sobre la etapa de la emergencia sanitaria.<\/p>\n

Enfatiz\u00f3 en que a ra\u00edz del acuerdo comercial con Estados Unidos y Canad\u00e1, no s\u00f3lo represent\u00f3 la eliminaci\u00f3n de aranceles en la regi\u00f3n, sino la creaci\u00f3n de un marco institucional que aument\u00f3 la competitividad de Am\u00e9rica del Norte a trav\u00e9s de sofisticadas cadenas de producci\u00f3n regionales.<\/p>\n

\u201cSin embargo, quiero destacar que desde hace m\u00e1s de una d\u00e9cada estamos viviendo una reacci\u00f3n, dir\u00eda yo, contra la globalizaci\u00f3n. En el caso de que los aranceles se vuelvan m\u00e1s persistentes y generalizados, o que la producci\u00f3n se reubique en respuesta a factores distintos a la eficiencia de costos, el mundo podr\u00eda enfrentar una menor competencia, menores niveles de inversi\u00f3n y menos incentivos para la adopci\u00f3n tecnol\u00f3gica y la innovaci\u00f3n. Los bancos centrales tienen que permanecer atentos a la evoluci\u00f3n de las tensiones comerciales\u201d, apunt\u00f3.<\/p>\n

M\u00e9xico tiene solidez\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Resalt\u00f3 que M\u00e9xico destaca entre las econom\u00edas emergentes por la fortaleza de su marco macroecon\u00f3mico. En este sentido, indic\u00f3 que destacan varios pilares macroecon\u00f3micos del pa\u00eds, como las cuentas externas son sostenibles, un nivel adecuado de reservas internacionales que se pueden complementar con recursos de la l\u00ednea comercial flexible contratada con el Fondo Monetario Internacional,\u00a0 un sistema bancario s\u00f3lido y una importante consolidaci\u00f3n fiscal para 2025.<\/p>\n

\u201cAdem\u00e1s, el pa\u00eds tiene un r\u00e9gimen de tipo de cambio flexible, que act\u00faa como amortiguador. Esto \u00faltimo nos ha permitido concentrarnos plenamente y con una perspectiva de largo plazo en lograr y preservar un entorno de inflaci\u00f3n baja y estable\u201d, concluy\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Victoria Rodriguez Ceja, gobernadora del Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM) considera que el panorama inflacionario permitir\u00e1 que se contin\u00fae con el […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":56167,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56166","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\n\u201cNos enfrentamos a incertidumbre por las pol\u00edticas de EU\u201d: BdeM - 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