{"id":56694,"date":"2025-02-14T00:12:10","date_gmt":"2025-02-14T06:12:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=56694"},"modified":"2025-02-13T22:18:34","modified_gmt":"2025-02-14T04:18:34","slug":"economia-de-mexico-preparada-para-enfrentar-danos-por-aranceles-shcp","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/02\/14\/economia-de-mexico-preparada-para-enfrentar-danos-por-aranceles-shcp\/","title":{"rendered":"Econom\u00eda de M\u00e9xico, preparada para enfrentar da\u00f1os por aranceles: SHCP"},"content":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9xico tiene una econom\u00eda \u201cbien preparada\u201d con la que puede enfrentar los posibles da\u00f1os generados debido a la imposici\u00f3n de aranceles por parte de Estados Unidos, por lo cual \u201cno se esperar\u00eda\u201d que el pa\u00eds entre en recesi\u00f3n, si bien algunos sectores industriales \u2013como el manufacturero– podr\u00edan resentir dichas medidas con mayor fuerza.<\/p>\n

As\u00ed lo afirm\u00f3 el subsecretario de Hacienda, \u00c9dgar Amador Zamora, quien resalt\u00f3 que la pol\u00edtica arancelaria de Donald Trump tambi\u00e9n afectar\u00eda a los consumidores estadunidenses, por lo que algunos analistas consideran que el periodo de aplicaci\u00f3n de dichos impuestos especiales no sea tan largo.<\/p>\n

Durante un foro en la C\u00e1mara de Diputados, el funcionario resalt\u00f3 que ante los aranceles que ha impuesto Washington, \u201chay que tomar muy a pecho el consejo de la presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum de tomarlo con cabeza fr\u00eda, con mucha calma\u201d y analizar los documentos y decretos sobre el tema antes de sacar conclusiones al respecto.<\/p>\n

Una posibilidad en este escenario, dijo, es que si Estados Unidos tambi\u00e9n le pone aranceles a otros pa\u00edses que compiten con M\u00e9xico, la \u201cposici\u00f3n relativa final\u201d del pa\u00eds es la que revelar\u00e1 la magnitud de las posibles afectaciones comerciales. \u201cAl final probablemente nos deje igual, uno nunca sabe; de repente mejor de como estamos. Es muy dif\u00edcil saberlo en este momento\u201d, subray\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Amador destac\u00f3 que en 2016, en el marco de la renegociaci\u00f3n del T-MEC, Trump asegur\u00f3 que este tratado \u201ces el m\u00e1s justo, balanceado y ben\u00e9fico acuerdo comercial que jam\u00e1s se haya firmado\u201d, lo cual es cierto, pues de ese a\u00f1o a 2024, la econom\u00eda estadunidense ha sido una de las m\u00e1s din\u00e1micas y productivas del mundo.<\/p>\n

Subray\u00f3 que \u201cexperiencias previas demuestran que los aranceles no solo afectan al pa\u00eds gravado, sino que tambi\u00e9n generan costos adicionales para consumidores y empresas en ambos lados de la relaicon comercial. (\u2026) El proteccionismo no es una soluci\u00f3n sin consecuencias, sino una medida que puede erosionar el poder adquisitivo de las familias, y afectar le dinamismo del mercado interno en Estados Unidos\u201d.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan el subsecretario, \u201calgunos an\u00e1lisis estiman que, en conjunto, los aranceles a M\u00e9xico, Canad\u00e1 y China, implicar\u00edan para los ciudadanos de Estados Unidos un promedio adicional de mil 500 d\u00f3lares al a\u00f1o por familia a al a\u00f1o, lo cual conllevar\u00eda a aumento de la inflaci\u00f3n de 1.2 puntos porcentuales.
\n\u201c\u00bfC\u00f3mo le quitas el chocolate al mole?\u201d<\/p>\n

Amador Zamora insisti\u00f3 en que el T-MEC ha sido muy ben\u00e9fico para los tres pa\u00edses miembros del pacto, lo que ha llevado a la \u201cintegraci\u00f3n productiva\u201d de Am\u00e9rica del Norte y a la \u201cinterdependencia de nuestras econom\u00edas, lo que subraya la necesidad de preservar un comercio libre y equilibrado\u201d.<\/p>\n

Las econom\u00edas de M\u00e9xico y Estados Unidos, en particular, \u201cest\u00e1n muy integradas. Nada m\u00e1s la frontera norte de M\u00e9xico a la frontera sur de Estados Unidos casi ser\u00edan una econom\u00eda por s\u00ed misma, y alguien dijo por ah\u00ed, \u2018\u00bfc\u00f3mo le quitas al el chocolate al mole?\u2019 Ya est\u00e1 todo mezclado, no se puede separar\u201d.<\/p>\n

Amador hizo \u00e9nfasis en que \u201cM\u00e9xico no enfrenta este reto desde una posici\u00f3n de fragilidad, sino desde una econom\u00eda bien preparada, capaz de enfrentar la volatilidad externa. Es una econom\u00eda muy competitiva, con una vocaci\u00f3n de competencia en el exterior muy, muy importante\u201d.<\/p>\n

Para ilustrar lo anterior, record\u00f3 que el pa\u00eds cuenta con reservas internacionales de m\u00e1s de 230 mil millones de d\u00f3lares, \u201cun r\u00e9cord hist\u00f3rico equivalentes a m\u00e1s de 4 meses y medio de importaciones, lo que nos brinda una s\u00f3lida primera l\u00ednea de defensa ante la potencial volatilidad de los mercados\u201d.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s de ello, M\u00e9xico tiene acceso a 44 mil millones de d\u00f3lares en l\u00edneas de cr\u00e9ditos internacionales contingentes en caso de ser necesarias, que \u201cnos garantizan liquidez en caso de necesidad y refuerzan la estabilidad financiera del pa\u00eds\u201d.<\/p>\n

Otro factor clave, destac\u00f3, \u201cen la estabilidad financiera es la estructura de nuestra deuda. El 84 por ciento de la deuda federal est\u00e1 denominado en moneda local, con el 77 por ciento a tasas fijas y vencimientos de largo plazo, lo que minimiza la exposici\u00f3n a fluctuaciones cambiarias y reduce los riesgos de refinanciamiento\u201d.<\/p>\n

Por todo ello, el funcionario asegur\u00f3 que \u201cla posible implementaci\u00f3n de aranceles no solo impactar\u00eda a M\u00e9xico, sino tambi\u00e9n a la competitividad de toda Am\u00e9rica del Norte. Por ello, nuestro enfoque es el apegarnos a nuestros derechos comerciales incluidos en los mecanismos acordados por las tres soberan\u00edas en el T-MEC y reforzar la atracci\u00f3n de inversiones estrat\u00e9gicas.<\/p>\n

\u201cCon fundamentos s\u00f3lidos, pol\u00edticas estrat\u00e9gicas, una visi\u00f3n de largo plazo y el liderazgo de la presidenta, M\u00e9xico est\u00e1 preparado para afrontar este reto para su econom\u00eda, t\u00e9nganlo por seguro\u201d, recalc\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

M\u00e9xico tiene una econom\u00eda \u201cbien preparada\u201d con la que puede enfrentar los posibles da\u00f1os generados debido a la imposici\u00f3n de […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":56695,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-56694","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nEconom\u00eda de M\u00e9xico, preparada para enfrentar da\u00f1os por aranceles: SHCP - 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Durante una reuni\u00f3n celebrada en Washington, el secretario de Estado estadounidense, Marco Rubio, plante\u00f3 al canciller Roberto Velasco la necesidad de acelerar las acciones contra los c\u00e1rteles y el tr\u00e1fico de\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abINTERNACIONAL\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"INTERNACIONAL","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/category\/internacional\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/782144596_1492096299330079_1426179680717466472_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C948&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/782144596_1492096299330079_1426179680717466472_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C948&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/782144596_1492096299330079_1426179680717466472_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C948&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/782144596_1492096299330079_1426179680717466472_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C948&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/08\/782144596_1492096299330079_1426179680717466472_n.jpg?fit=1200%2C948&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/02\/HAC.jpg?fit=716%2C463&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56694","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=56694"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/56694\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/56695"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=56694"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=56694"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=56694"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}