{"id":58901,"date":"2025-03-17T00:12:04","date_gmt":"2025-03-17T06:12:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=58901"},"modified":"2025-03-17T00:32:23","modified_gmt":"2025-03-17T06:32:23","slug":"ropa-interior-snacks-y-cigarrillos-las-inusuales-senales-de-una-recesion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/03\/17\/ropa-interior-snacks-y-cigarrillos-las-inusuales-senales-de-una-recesion\/","title":{"rendered":"Ropa interior, snacks y cigarrillos, las inusuales se\u00f1ales de una recesi\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"

Aunque muchos recurrir\u00e1n al mercado de valores o a la tasa de empleo, no son los \u00fanicos indicadores que utilizar\u00e1n los expertos. Hay otras \u00e1reas, curiosas, que los economistas analizar\u00e1n para ver si indican que los consumidores est\u00e1n reduciendo su gasto discrecional, lo que significa que una recesi\u00f3n podr\u00eda ser inminente.<\/p>\n

Se espera que los nuevos aranceles del presidente Donald Trump aumenten los precios al consumidor, se espera que los recortes de la fuerza laboral federal contribuyan al desempleo y se est\u00e9 reduciendo el mercado de valores, por lo que circulan rumores de una posible recesi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Los economistas definen una recesi\u00f3n como una \u00abdisminuci\u00f3n significativa de la actividad econ\u00f3mica\u00bb en el mercado que dura m\u00e1s de unos pocos meses. A menudo, analizan los ingresos reales, el desempleo, la producci\u00f3n industrial, las ventas minoristas y el PIB para determinarla.<\/p>\n

Hasta el momento, los analistas econ\u00f3micos creen que la econom\u00eda est\u00e1 estable, aunque pronostican un crecimiento m\u00e1s lento este a\u00f1o. Goldman Sachs ha indicado que la probabilidad de una recesi\u00f3n este a\u00f1o es de aproximadamente el 20 %.<\/p>\n

Pero tambi\u00e9n hay patrones m\u00e1s peque\u00f1os que se deben tener en cuenta para predecir una recesi\u00f3n. A continuaci\u00f3n, se presenta un vistazo a los factores importantes, peque\u00f1os e inusuales que pueden indicar una recesi\u00f3n:<\/p>\n

Disminuci\u00f3n de las ventas de ropa interior masculina<\/strong><\/p>\n

Conocido como el \u201c\u00edndice de ropa interior masculina\u201d, la disminuci\u00f3n en las ventas de ropa interior masculina es un indicador de crisis econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n

La teor\u00eda, seguida por el ex presidente de la Reserva Federal Alan Greenspan, supone que la gente trata las compras de ropa interior masculina como un gasto discrecional para sus hogares y, por tanto, compra menos durante las recesiones.<\/p>\n

Los hombres, que tienen el estereotipo de usar ropa interior hasta que literalmente se rompe, son tardados para comprar calcetines nuevos, para empezar, por lo que en una recesi\u00f3n, comprar\u00e1n menos.<\/p>\n

Menos snacks<\/strong><\/p>\n

El aumento de los precios en los supermercados obliga a los clientes a ser m\u00e1s selectivos con los alimentos que compran, lo que significa adquirir menos snacks indulgentes como salsas, frutos secos, galletas, embutidos y m\u00e1s.<\/p>\n

El volumen de ventas de las tiendas de conveniencia en Estados Unidos cay\u00f3 un 4.3 por ciento a medida que los precios aumentaron durante el a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

M\u00e1s espec\u00edficamente, el volumen de ventas de dulces y chocolates cay\u00f3 6 por ciento, mientras los productos refrigerados cayeron 7 por ciento.<\/p>\n

Abundancia de cigarrillos<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ver cartones de cigarrillos en los estantes de las gasolineras indica que los consumidores est\u00e1n gastando menos en productos innecesarios mientras buscan formas de recortar costos en sus vidas.<\/p>\n

Si bien los cigarrillos son un producto que no suele verse afectado por las recesiones (como lo indican las ventas durante la Gran Recesi\u00f3n de 2008 ), los fumadores optar\u00e1n por opciones m\u00e1s baratas.<\/p>\n

Aumento de las ventas de botellas peque\u00f1as de licor<\/strong><\/p>\n

El aumento de las ventas de botellas de licor en miniatura, a menudo denominadas \u201cbotellas de avi\u00f3n\u201d o \u201cnips\u201d, puede ser una se\u00f1al de que los consumidores est\u00e1n tratando de reducir costos.<\/p>\n

Las ventas de botellas de 50 mililitros de whisky y tequila han aumentado, seg\u00fan informaron los fabricantes al Journal . Las botellas m\u00e1s peque\u00f1as son m\u00e1s econ\u00f3micas que las de mayor tama\u00f1o, pero suelen ser m\u00e1s caras por onza.<\/p>\n

\u00abEs un consumidor que est\u00e1 en apuros\u00bb, dijo al Journal Lawson Whiting, el director ejecutivo de Brown-Forman, fabricante de Jack Daniel’s .<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Aunque muchos recurrir\u00e1n al mercado de valores o a la tasa de empleo, no son los \u00fanicos indicadores que utilizar\u00e1n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":58902,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-58901","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nRopa interior, snacks y cigarrillos, las inusuales se\u00f1ales de una recesi\u00f3n - 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El primer\u2026","rel":"","context":"En \u00abINTERNACIONAL\u00bb","block_context":{"text":"INTERNACIONAL","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/category\/internacional\/"},"img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-ue.png?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200,"srcset":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-ue.png?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=350%2C200 1x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-ue.png?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=525%2C300 1.5x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-ue.png?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=700%2C400 2x, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/canada-ue.png?fit=1200%2C546&ssl=1&resize=1050%2C600 3x"},"classes":[]}],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/03\/WI.jpg?fit=586%2C392&ssl=1","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58901","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=58901"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/58901\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/58902"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=58901"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=58901"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=58901"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}