{"id":60094,"date":"2025-04-02T00:10:47","date_gmt":"2025-04-02T06:10:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=60094"},"modified":"2025-04-01T23:14:13","modified_gmt":"2025-04-02T05:14:13","slug":"nuevas-proyecciones-economicas-de-hacienda-son-optimistas-banamex","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/04\/02\/nuevas-proyecciones-economicas-de-hacienda-son-optimistas-banamex\/","title":{"rendered":"Nuevas proyecciones econ\u00f3micas de Hacienda son optimistas: Banamex"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Las nuevas proyecciones para el desempe\u00f1o de la econom\u00eda mexicana este a\u00f1o, presentadas este martes por la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico (SHCP) son optimistas, si se considera que la actividad se encuentra en un proceso de desaceleraci\u00f3n, plante\u00f3 Banamex.<\/p>\n<p>Este martes, la dependencia\u00a0present\u00f3 los Pre-Criterios Generales de Pol\u00edtica Econ\u00f3mica para 2026, en los que ajust\u00f3 a la baja su estimado para el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda este a\u00f1o, al pasar de un rango de entre dos y tres por ciento, a uno nuevo de entre 1.5 y 2.3 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHay algunos reconocimientos de algunos riesgos por el contexto externo (en los Pre-Criterios), pero se ven bastante lejanos de otros organismos.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cParecen optimistas, dado la inercia que trae la actividad econ\u00f3mica ya a inicios de abril, indicadores como la confianza empresarial o los pedidos manufactureros, que indican que la aton\u00eda de la actividad econ\u00f3mica persiste al cierre del primer trimestre\u201d, dijo Iv\u00e1n Arias, director de estudios econ\u00f3micos de Banamex.<\/p>\n<p>Para el economista, llegar a un crecimiento de 1.5 por ciento, como lo ve Hacienda en sus nuevos estimados \u201cen el contexto actual y la alta incertidumbre se ve bastante dif\u00edcil\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Consider\u00f3 que el nuevo escenario presentado por la dependencia no contempla los efectos potenciales que podr\u00edan tener los aranceles que ser\u00e1n anunciados el d\u00eda de ma\u00f1ana por el presidente estadounidense Donald Trump.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cNo es un factor negativo dado que la dependencia no conoce (si se aplicar\u00e1n en contra de M\u00e9xico) al momento que se tienen que mandar (los Pre-Criterios) al Congreso, no es necesario asumir algo as\u00ed\u201d, puntualiz\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p>El economista abund\u00f3 que seg\u00fan las estimaciones del banco, no se necesitan aranceles en contra de M\u00e9xico \u201cpara que ya veamos los efectos reales de la ca\u00edda de la inversi\u00f3n\u201d.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Las nuevas proyecciones para el desempe\u00f1o de la econom\u00eda mexicana este a\u00f1o, presentadas este martes por la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":60095,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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