{"id":61716,"date":"2025-04-26T03:43:12","date_gmt":"2025-04-26T09:43:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=61716"},"modified":"2025-04-26T03:43:12","modified_gmt":"2025-04-26T09:43:12","slug":"preve-fmi-una-baja-de-las-remesas-de-eu-a-latinoamerica","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/04\/26\/preve-fmi-una-baja-de-las-remesas-de-eu-a-latinoamerica\/","title":{"rendered":"Prev\u00e9 FMI una baja de las remesas de EU a Latinoam\u00e9rica"},"content":{"rendered":"

El Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) prev\u00e9 una disminuci\u00f3n del dinero enviado a hogares en Am\u00e9rica Latina por trabajadores inmigrantes en Estados Unidos, particularmente a M\u00e9xico y Centro Am\u00e9rica, lo que tendr\u00e1 un impacto sobre el consumo y la actividad econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n

En sus perspectivas econ\u00f3micas para la regi\u00f3n, el organismo reiter\u00f3 que el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico en Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe se desacelerar\u00eda este a\u00f1o, lastrado en parte por la incertidumbre pol\u00edtica y comercial, as\u00ed como por el impacto de los aranceles.<\/p>\n

\n
\n

\u201cEsperamos que las remesas disminuyan en el futuro\u201d, dijo Rodrigo Vald\u00e9s, director del Departamento del Hemisferio Occidental del FMI, durante la presentaci\u00f3n en Washington de las\u00a0Perspectivas Econ\u00f3micas Regionales.<\/p>\n

Vald\u00e9s dijo que si bien el env\u00edo de remesas est\u00e1 aumentando, el Fondo lo considera algo temporal. \u201cEsto ser\u00eda un reto para las econom\u00edas, ya que se trata de un shock probablemente m\u00e1s persistente\u201d, dijo Vald\u00e9s, al apuntar que la ca\u00edda se sentir\u00e1 principalmente en Centroam\u00e9rica, ya que algunos pa\u00edses centroamericanos, incluidos El Salvador, Honduras y Nicaragua, reciben m\u00e1s de 20 por ciento del producto interno bruto en remesas.<\/p>\n

Explic\u00f3 que los pa\u00edses de Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe enfrentan el desaf\u00edo de absorber a las personas que migraron y que est\u00e1n regresando. \u201cHay pa\u00edses que tienen problemas para la reinserci\u00f3n de migrantes\u201d, apunt\u00f3.<\/p>\n

No obstante, explic\u00f3 que el regreso de inmigrantes tambi\u00e9n representa una oportunidad, ya que hay pa\u00edses donde actualmente hay escasez de mano de obra y los mercados laborales tendr\u00e1n que ajustarse.<\/p>\n

Por su parte, Nigel Chalk, director del Hemisferio Occidental del FMI, indic\u00f3 que en los \u00faltimos dos a\u00f1os se ha reducido el flujo migratorio hacia Estados Unidos, lo que tambi\u00e9n afecta a ese pa\u00eds, ya que tendr\u00e1 un impacto en el consumo y la demanda. Se\u00f1al\u00f3 que en los rubros de construcci\u00f3n, servicios y entre los trabajadores del campo, ser\u00e1n los sectores donde m\u00e1s se resentir\u00e1 la afectaci\u00f3n de la demanda.<\/p>\n

Dijo que aproximadamente los \u00faltimos dos a\u00f1os se ha visto entre 3 y 3.5 millones de trabajadores, entrando a Estados Unidos, de ellos s\u00f3lo 20 por ciento son migrantes con permisos de trabajo. Indic\u00f3 que en pa\u00edses fornterizos va a ver una reducci\u00f3n de quienes entren por canales formales, tendencia que \u201cva a quedar en ceros\u201d.<\/p>\n

La reducci\u00f3n de los flujos migratorios, dijo, tiene implicaci\u00f3n en las econom\u00edas, en primer lugar, en el mercado laboral. \u201cEsa llegada de trabajadores ha sido importante para ayudar a Estados Unidos a equilibrarse y promover el crecimiento\u201d. \u201cEse grupo de personas contribuye en la econom\u00eda de Estados Unidos porque consumen. Eso va a lastrar la parte de la demanda\u201d, advirti\u00f3 Nigel Chalk.<\/p>\n

El FMI dijo esta semana que espera que el crecimiento en Am\u00e9rica Latina y el Caribe se desacelere en 2025 a 2.0 por ciento desde la expansi\u00f3n de 2.4 por ciento del a\u00f1o pasado y por debajo de la previsi\u00f3n de 2.5 por ciento que observaba en enero pasado.<\/p>\n

\u201cEl panorama econ\u00f3mico actual est\u00e1 determinado por una compleja interacci\u00f3n de factores mundiales que van desde los aranceles y las perturbaciones de la cadena de valor, hasta la volatilidad de los precios de los productos b\u00e1sicos y los mercados financieros, a la incertidumbre pol\u00edtica\u201d, indic\u00f3 Rodrigo Vald\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/div>\n
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El Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) prev\u00e9 una disminuci\u00f3n del dinero enviado a hogares en Am\u00e9rica Latina por trabajadores inmigrantes en 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