{"id":66398,"date":"2025-07-08T00:09:57","date_gmt":"2025-07-08T06:09:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=66398"},"modified":"2025-07-07T19:59:57","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T01:59:57","slug":"mejoran-analistas-pronostico-de-crecimiento-pib-crecera-0-2-citi-mexico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/07\/08\/mejoran-analistas-pronostico-de-crecimiento-pib-crecera-0-2-citi-mexico\/","title":{"rendered":"Mejoran analistas pron\u00f3stico de crecimiento; PIB crecer\u00e1 0.2%: Citi M\u00e9xico"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"article-content-tts\" class=\"nota-contenido mb-5\">\n<div id=\"content_nitf\">\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Especialistas econ\u00f3micos consultados por Citi M\u00e9xico, mejoraron, marginalmente, su pron\u00f3stico para el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda nacional este a\u00f1o, y pas\u00f3 de 0.1 por ciento a 0.2 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Se trata de los \u00faltimos resultados que arroja la Encuesta Citi M\u00e9xico de Expectativas, que se realiza de forma quincenal a \u00e1reas de an\u00e1lisis de bancos, casas de bolsa, consultoras, entre otros agentes del sector financiero.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">El banco de inversi\u00f3n ingl\u00e9s Barclays es la instituci\u00f3n que cuenta con el pron\u00f3stico m\u00e1s optimista, toda vez que espera que el Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) crezca 0.7 por ciento este a\u00f1o y el m\u00e1s pesimista lo tiene Masari Casa de Bolsa, que pronostica una contracci\u00f3n de 0.6 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">El Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM), en su escenario central, anticipa que la actividad avance 0.1 por ciento este a\u00f1o, mientras que la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda y Cr\u00e9dito P\u00fablico\u00a0(SHCP), espera que la econom\u00eda mexicana crezca entre 1.5 y 2.5 por ciento este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\"><strong>Tipo de cambio y tasas<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Las expectativas sobre el peso se mantienen optimistas, toda vez que los economistas consultados por Citi esperan que al concluir el a\u00f1o el tipo de cambio alcance los 20 pesos por d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">En la encuesta de hace 15 d\u00edas, los especialistas anticipaban que la divisa mexicana frente a la estadounidense cerrar\u00eda el a\u00f1o en 20.20 unidades por billete verde.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Respecto a las estimaciones para la tasa de referencia del BdeM, \u201cla mayor\u00eda de los participantes esperan que el siguiente movimiento en la tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria sea en agosto 2025 y todos esperan que un recorte de un cuarto de punto porcentual\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Seg\u00fan Citi, de 38 participantes, 33 esperan un recorte en agosto mientras que cuatro analistas lo esperan en septiembre.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">\u201cEl pron\u00f3stico de la tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria para final de 2025 se mantuvo en 7.50 por ciento\u201d, agreg\u00f3 Citi.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"notas-relacionadas\"><\/div>\n<div class=\"nota-tags\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Especialistas econ\u00f3micos consultados por Citi M\u00e9xico, mejoraron, marginalmente, su pron\u00f3stico para el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda nacional este a\u00f1o, y [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":66399,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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