{"id":71379,"date":"2025-09-23T00:09:31","date_gmt":"2025-09-23T06:09:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=71379"},"modified":"2025-09-22T21:19:46","modified_gmt":"2025-09-23T03:19:46","slug":"bdem-continuara-con-reduccion-de-tasas-de-interes-perfila-encuesta-de-citi-mexico","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/09\/23\/bdem-continuara-con-reduccion-de-tasas-de-interes-perfila-encuesta-de-citi-mexico\/","title":{"rendered":"BdeM continuar\u00e1 con reducci\u00f3n de tasas de inter\u00e9s, perfila encuesta de Citi M\u00e9xico"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"nota-justify\">Analistas econ\u00f3micos consultados quincenalmente por Citi M\u00e9xico proyectaron que el Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM) continuar\u00e1 con la reducci\u00f3n a la tasa de inter\u00e9s, al mismo tiempo que mantuvieron sin cambios sus proyecciones para el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda este a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">De acuerdo con la \u00faltima Encuesta Citi M\u00e9xico de Expectativas, divulgada este lunes, los especialistas anticipan que en la reuni\u00f3n de pol\u00edtica monetaria de la junta de gobierno del banco central en septiembre se haga un nuevo recorte de un cuarto de punto porcentual a la tasa de referencia.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">\u201cLa mayor\u00eda de los participantes espera que el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento en la tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria sea en septiembre de 2025, y todos esperan un recorte de un cuarto de punto como el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento. De 38 participantes, 37 esperan un recorte en septiembre de 2025, mientras que uno lo espera en noviembre\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">De concretarse el movimiento, la tasa de referencia, que es el instrumento que marca el costo al que se financian empresas y familias, pasar\u00eda de 7.75 a 7.5 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">En este sentido, precis\u00f3 Citi en la Encuesta, los especialistas proyectan que, al concluir el a\u00f1o, la tasa de inter\u00e9s se ubicar\u00e1 en 7 por ciento, mientras que, para el cierre del pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o, sit\u00faan su estimado en 6.5 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\"><strong>Econom\u00eda crecer\u00e1 0.5%<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Seg\u00fan el documento, las proyecciones para el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda mexicana este a\u00f1o se mantuvieron sin cambio, toda vez que el estimado para el desempe\u00f1o de la actividad se ubic\u00f3 en 0.5 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">BBVA, Barclays, Credicorp Capital, HSBC, Morgan Stanley y Signum Research son las entidades con la mejor proyecci\u00f3n, pues esperan que el PIB crezca 0.7 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Hace 3 semanas, el Banco de M\u00e9xico ajust\u00f3 al alza su estimado para el crecimiento de la econom\u00eda nacional y lo dej\u00f3 en 0.6 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Para el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o, las expectativas de crecimiento disminuyeron marginalmente de 1.4 a 1.3 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\"><strong>Tipo de cambio e inflaci\u00f3n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Para el tipo de cambio, los expertos prev\u00e9n que al concluir el a\u00f1o se ubique en un nivel de 19.26 pesos por d\u00f3lar, un nivel m\u00e1s bajo respecto al de la Encuesta anterior, cuando esperaban que se situara en 19.50 unidades por billete verde.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Lo anterior, a\u00fan y cuando el peso ha marcado jornadas favorables frente al d\u00f3lar estadounidense \u00faltimamente.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Y para la inflaci\u00f3n, los economistas consultados por Citi anticipan que concluya el a\u00f1o en un nivel de 3.99 por ciento.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Analistas econ\u00f3micos consultados quincenalmente por Citi M\u00e9xico proyectaron que el Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM) continuar\u00e1 con la reducci\u00f3n a la [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":71380,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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