{"id":74172,"date":"2025-11-04T00:09:39","date_gmt":"2025-11-04T06:09:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=74172"},"modified":"2025-11-03T19:32:42","modified_gmt":"2025-11-04T01:32:42","slug":"bdem-sera-cauteloso-a-inicios-de-2026-y-moderara-los-recortes-a-la-tasa-anticipa-banamex","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/11\/04\/bdem-sera-cauteloso-a-inicios-de-2026-y-moderara-los-recortes-a-la-tasa-anticipa-banamex\/","title":{"rendered":"BdeM ser\u00e1 cauteloso a inicios de 2026 y moderar\u00e1 los recortes a la tasa, anticipa Banamex"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>El Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM) pausar\u00e1 los recortes a la tasa de referencia \u2013 el instrumento que marca el costo al que se financian empresas y familias\u2014el pr\u00f3ximo a\u00f1o ante un posible incremento en precios y los ajustes al salario m\u00ednimo, anticip\u00f3 este lunes el Banco Nacional de M\u00e9xico (Banamex).<\/p>\n<p>El \u00e1rea de estudios econ\u00f3micos de la firma financiera estim\u00f3 que por lo que resta del a\u00f1o, la Junta de Gobierno del banco central realizar\u00e1\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jornada.com.mx\/noticia\/2025\/10\/09\/economia\/bdem-seguira-valorando-hacia-adelante-nuevos-recortes-a-tasa-de-interes\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.jornada.com.mx\/noticia\/2025\/10\/09\/economia\/bdem-seguira-valorando-hacia-adelante-nuevos-recortes-a-tasa-de-interes&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1762301143392000&amp;usg=AOvVaw1OIQHUu6KIPQ9Uuo0gZ_P3\">dos recortes m\u00e1s a la tasa de inter\u00e9s<\/a>\u00a0para luego, de forma cautelosa, comenzar a pausar las disminuciones.<\/p>\n<p>En abril de 2023, derivado de los altos niveles de inflaci\u00f3n que se ten\u00edan en el pa\u00eds, el BdeM llev\u00f3 el objetivo a su mayor nivel,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jornada.com.mx\/notas\/2023\/08\/11\/economia\/bdem-mantiene-en-11-25-la-tasa-de-referencia-por-tercera-ocasion\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.jornada.com.mx\/notas\/2023\/08\/11\/economia\/bdem-mantiene-en-11-25-la-tasa-de-referencia-por-tercera-ocasion\/&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1762301143392000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2tplIj00lq9yVQ4AqCpwJx\">de 11.25 por ciento<\/a>, desde que tiene como objetivo controlar la estabilidad de precios por medio de la pol\u00edtica monetaria.<\/p>\n<p>La tasa de inter\u00e9s se mantuvo en ese nivel hasta finales de marzo de 2024, cuando la inflaci\u00f3n comenz\u00f3 a dar tregua y actualmente el objetivo se ubica en 7.5 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p>Para los economistas de Banamex, la Junta de Gobierno del BdeM continuar\u00e1 con el\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jornada.com.mx\/noticia\/2025\/09\/25\/economia\/bdem-recorta-tasa-de-interes-en-25-puntos-basicos-a-75\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.jornada.com.mx\/noticia\/2025\/09\/25\/economia\/bdem-recorta-tasa-de-interes-en-25-puntos-basicos-a-75&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1762301143392000&amp;usg=AOvVaw3ov8eFCpjBMrXfYsMC5j-z\">ciclo de recortes<\/a>\u00a0por lo que resta del a\u00f1o: har\u00e1 uno de un cuarto de punto porcentual en su reuni\u00f3n de noviembre y otro de igual magnitud en diciembre, para que la tasa cierre el a\u00f1o en un nivel de 7 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cPero consideramos que el banco central deber\u00eda pausar en el primer trimestre para evaluar los efectos al alza en los precios. Dado que las presiones de precios no ser\u00edan generalizadas y tendr\u00edan efectos de una sola vez, es decir que no ser\u00edan persistentes, habr\u00eda cierto margen adicional para recortes en 2026, con el fin de consolidar una postura monetaria neutral para la actividad\u201d, se\u00f1al\u00f3 la firma financiera.<\/p>\n<p>Los economistas de Banamex prev\u00e9n que el\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jornada.com.mx\/noticia\/2025\/10\/23\/economia\/inflacion-se-desacelero-a-363-en-primera-quincena-de-octubre-mas-de-lo-esperado\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" data-saferedirecturl=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/www.jornada.com.mx\/noticia\/2025\/10\/23\/economia\/inflacion-se-desacelero-a-363-en-primera-quincena-de-octubre-mas-de-lo-esperado&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1762301143392000&amp;usg=AOvVaw2vNuRpoNwIfKS1w1GXRwd2\">aumento en los niveles de inflaci\u00f3n<\/a>\u00a0durante el inicio del siguiente a\u00f1o llevar\u00e1 al instituto central a actuar con mayor cautela con el fin de analizar los efectos que generen el alza en precios durante la primera parte de 2026.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cEn este sentido, prevemos que la Junta de Gobierno optar\u00eda por parar los recortes en el primer trimestre del siguiente a\u00f1o, para luego realizar dos recortes finales en mayo y junio de 2026, llegando al fin del ciclo con una tasa de 6.50 por ciento, el punto medio del rango neutral de la tasa de inter\u00e9s\u201d, agregaron los expertos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Banco de M\u00e9xico (BdeM) pausar\u00e1 los recortes a la tasa de referencia \u2013 el instrumento que marca el costo [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":74173,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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