{"id":76858,"date":"2025-12-16T00:12:26","date_gmt":"2025-12-16T06:12:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=76858"},"modified":"2025-12-15T23:20:53","modified_gmt":"2025-12-16T05:20:53","slug":"crecera-la-economia-mexicana-1-80-en-promedio-los-proximos-10-anos-especialistas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2025\/12\/16\/crecera-la-economia-mexicana-1-80-en-promedio-los-proximos-10-anos-especialistas\/","title":{"rendered":"Crecer\u00e1 la econom\u00eda mexicana 1.80% en promedio los pr\u00f3ximos 10 a\u00f1os: especialistas"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"nota-justify\">La econom\u00eda mexicana crecer\u00e1 1.80 por ciento en promedio los pr\u00f3ximos 10 a\u00f1os, de acuerdo con la \u201cEncuesta sobre las Expectativas de los Especialistas en Econom\u00eda del Sector Privado\u201d de Diciembre de 2025 difundida hoy por el Banco M\u00e9xico (Banxico)<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">El ejercicio realizado entre 41 grupos de an\u00e1lisis y consultor\u00eda econ\u00f3mica del sector privado nacional y extranjero, dio como resultado que la mediana de los especialistas proyectan una expansi\u00f3n del producto interno bruto (PIB) de 1.80 por ciento en promedio en el periodo 2026-2035.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">En la encuesta que el Instituto Central realiz\u00f3 este mes, los analistas estimaron que el crecimiento econ\u00f3mico para 2025 ser\u00e1 de 0.39 por ciento, mientras que en noviembre pasado lo proyectaron en o.40 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">A su vez, en este mes, los especialistas esperan que en el 2026, la econom\u00eda mexicana crezca 1.15 por ciento, mientras que en el mes previo estimaron un aumento de 1.37 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Para 2027, mejoraron las expectativas, ya que la elevaron de 1.80 por ciento en la encuesta de noviembre a 1.85 por ciento en la que se realiz\u00f3 este mes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Para la inflaci\u00f3n general correspondiente a los cierres de 2025 y 2026, los especialistas otorgaron la mayor probabilidad al intervalo de 3.6 a 4.0 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">En cuanto a la inflaci\u00f3n subyacente para el cierre de 2025, los analistas disminuyeron en diciembre respecto a noviembre, la probabilidad asignada al intervalo de 3.6 a 4.0 por ciento, al tiempo que aumentaron la probabilidad otorgada al intervalo de 4.1 a 4.5 por ciento, siendo este \u00faltimo intervalo al que mayor probabilidad se le asign\u00f3, tal como sucedi\u00f3 en el mes pasado.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Para el cierre de 2026, los especialistas volvieron a dar la mayor probabilidad al intervalo de 3.6 a 4.0 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Respecto al tipo de cambio, la mediana de los especialistas bajo la proyecci\u00f3n del 2025 a 18.50 pesos por d\u00f3lar, cuando hace un mes la estimaci\u00f3n fue de 18.70<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Para el 2026, redujo ligeramente de 19.26 a 19.23 y hacia 2027, la baj\u00f3 de 19.67 a 19.45 pesos por d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La econom\u00eda mexicana crecer\u00e1 1.80 por ciento en promedio los pr\u00f3ximos 10 a\u00f1os, de acuerdo con la \u201cEncuesta sobre las [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":76859,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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