{"id":81243,"date":"2026-03-09T00:12:11","date_gmt":"2026-03-09T06:12:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=81243"},"modified":"2026-03-08T23:32:15","modified_gmt":"2026-03-09T05:32:15","slug":"no-aumentara-aun-la-gasolina-por-el-alza-del-crudo-analista","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/03\/09\/no-aumentara-aun-la-gasolina-por-el-alza-del-crudo-analista\/","title":{"rendered":"No aumentar\u00e1 a\u00fan la gasolina por el alza del crudo: analista"},"content":{"rendered":"

El incremento en el precio internacional del petr\u00f3leo no tendr\u00e1 un impacto directo al bolsillo de los consumidores. El gobierno federal cuenta con mecanismos para activar subsidios semanales para que el alza global de los energ\u00e9ticos no se traslade al usuario final. Adem\u00e1s, est\u00e1 vigente un acuerdo para mantener en 24 pesos el costo del litro de la gasolina, se\u00f1al\u00f3 Alejandro Montufar Helu Jim\u00e9nez, director general de PetroIntelligence.<\/p>\n

El viernes, los precios internacionales del petr\u00f3leo superaron los 90 d\u00f3lares por barril, debido al recrudecimiento del conflicto b\u00e9lico en Medio Oriente, en particular por la interrupci\u00f3n del tr\u00e1nsito en el estrecho de Ormuz, por donde fluye 20 por ciento del volumen del hidrocarburo total global.<\/p>\n

Aunque este hecho puede representar un impacto en el costo de las gasolinas en M\u00e9xico, el director general de la consultora explic\u00f3 que el efecto se absorbe mediante las finanzas p\u00fablicas, \u201cporque se sacrifica la recaudaci\u00f3n de impuestos\u201d para aplicar el subsidio semanal a los combustibles.<\/p>\n

Aunado a ello, desde el 1\u00ba de marzo de 2025 se encuentra vigente la Estrategia Nacional para Estabilizar el Precio de la Gasolina, un pacto voluntario entre el gobierno federal y empresarios orientado a mantener el precio de carburante automotriz regular por debajo de 24 pesos por litro.<\/p>\n

\u201cEl pacto voluntario no se ve presionado porque el gobierno mitiga el impacto antes del precio de mayoreo v\u00eda los est\u00edmulos fiscales o los adicionales que estar\u00edan implementando en su caso, como ya vimos hace unos a\u00f1os\u201d, declar\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Las variaciones en los precios de referencia internacional tienen importancia para el pa\u00eds, pues una parte de las gasolinas y di\u00e9sel se importa, principalmente de Estados Unidos. Datos de la Secretar\u00eda de Energ\u00eda (Sener) muestran que hasta 2024, M\u00e9xico compr\u00f3 en promedio un mill\u00f3n 79 mil barriles diarios de gasolinas y naftas, mientras la producci\u00f3n nacional de gasolinas fue de 668 mil barriles diarios y de di\u00e9sel de 289 mil.<\/p>\n

De acuerdo con la Secretar\u00eda de Hacienda, en el caso de las gasolinas, 40 por ciento de su costo est\u00e1 determinado por la referencia internacional, lo cual incluye el costo de adquisici\u00f3n del crudo, la refinaci\u00f3n y el margen de importaci\u00f3n, mientras el resto corresponde a otros factores, como la distribuci\u00f3n y el margen de ganancia.<\/p>\n

Montufar Helu indic\u00f3 que el viernes Hacienda no activ\u00f3 el subsidio que se aplica semanalmente al impuesto especial sobre producci\u00f3n y servicios (IEPS) de las gasolinas, porque \u201clos est\u00edmulos se activan con base en el comportamiento hist\u00f3rico de los d\u00edas anteriores al viernes de la semana respectiva, por lo que, en promedio, el incremento no era relevante, y, por tanto, no era necesario activarlos\u201d.<\/p>\n

Es decir, hasta antes del viernes, no hab\u00eda indicios de una escalada, como la observada en los precios internacionales del hidrocarburo.<\/p>\n

El especialista apunt\u00f3 que hasta el jueves, el incremento de la referencia s\u00f3lo era de 10 por ciento.<\/p>\n

Montufar Helu coment\u00f3 que hasta que sea publicado el siguiente acuerdo, ser\u00e1 un periodo de transici\u00f3n. \u201cLas empresas son las que pudieran estar viendo un incremento de precios y teniendo la presi\u00f3n de respetar el precio al p\u00fablico\u201d, expuso.<\/p>\n

\u201cYa el pr\u00f3ximo viernes, si el gobierno activa los est\u00edmulos, las empresas ya no est\u00e1n tan presionadas\u201d, agreg\u00f3.<\/p>\n

El especialista tambi\u00e9n record\u00f3 que en 2022, el gobierno federal cre\u00f3 subsidios especiales para los combustibles, los cuales fueron adicionales al aplicado al IEPS, con la finalidad de mitigar el impacto al consumidor.<\/p>\n

Adem\u00e1s, el Paquete contra la Inflaci\u00f3n y la Carest\u00eda incluye la estabilizaci\u00f3n de los precios de los combustibles, incluyendo el di\u00e9sel, por influir m\u00e1s en el transporte de mercanc\u00edas, como una estrategia para contener la inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

\u201cObservando los sucesos actuales y la escalada regional, as\u00ed como el impacto en el comercio del estrecho de Ormuz, se estima que este nivel alcista se mantenga toda la pr\u00f3xima semana, por lo que s\u00ed estaremos esperando que el gobierno active los est\u00edmulos el pr\u00f3ximo viernes\u201d, indic\u00f3.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

El incremento en el precio internacional del petr\u00f3leo no tendr\u00e1 un impacto directo al bolsillo de los consumidores. El gobierno […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":81244,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-81243","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"\nNo aumentar\u00e1 a\u00fan la gasolina por el alza del crudo: analista - Pol\u00edticos al Desnudo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/03\/09\/no-aumentara-aun-la-gasolina-por-el-alza-del-crudo-analista\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"No aumentar\u00e1 a\u00fan la gasolina por el alza del crudo: analista - Pol\u00edticos al Desnudo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"El incremento en el precio internacional del petr\u00f3leo no tendr\u00e1 un impacto directo al bolsillo de los consumidores. 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