{"id":82489,"date":"2026-04-01T00:10:37","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T06:10:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=82489"},"modified":"2026-03-31T20:51:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T02:51:08","slug":"petroleo-el-ganador-de-la-guerra-en-los-mercados-financieros","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/04\/01\/petroleo-el-ganador-de-la-guerra-en-los-mercados-financieros\/","title":{"rendered":"Petr\u00f3leo, el ganador de la guerra en los mercados financieros"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"nota-justify\">Ante los informes de que Ir\u00e1n est\u00e1 dispuesto a poner fin a la guerra, los mercados accionarios en Estados Unidos y en M\u00e9xico registraron importantes avances en la \u00faltima sesi\u00f3n de marzo, pero con un balance mensual negativo y uno mixto para el primer trimestre de 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">El \u00edndice de referencia estadunidense, S&amp;P 500, retrocedi\u00f3 5.1 por ciento en marzo, hasta los 6 mil 528.44 enteros, y firm\u00f3 su peor trimestre desde 2022, cuando los mercados se vieron sacudidos por el conflicto entre Rusia y Ucrania y las consecuencias de la pandemia, al caer 4.63 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">El tecnol\u00f3gico Nasdaq cedi\u00f3 4.75 por ciento mensual en marzo y acumul\u00f3 un retroceso en los primeros tres meses del presente a\u00f1o de 7.11 por ciento, para cerrar en los 21 mil 590.63 puntos.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Mientras que el \u00cdndice de Precios y Cotizaciones (IPC) de la Bolsa Mexicana de Valores (BMV) gan\u00f3 este martes 2.27 por ciento, para acumular una ca\u00edda en el tercer mes del a\u00f1o de 3.91 por ciento nominal y de 8 por ciento en d\u00f3lares, pero con una ganancia en el primer trimestre de 6.69 por ciento, su mejor primer trimestre desde 2023.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">\u201cEl tercer mes de 2026 estuvo marcado por un fuerte deterioro en el apetito por riesgo, debido al comienzo del conflicto geopol\u00edticas en Medio Oriente, el cual implic\u00f3 un alza significativa en los precios del petr\u00f3leo y un ajuste en las expectativas de pol\u00edtica monetaria en Estados Unidos. El encarecimiento del petr\u00f3leo ha elevado las presiones inflacionarias y llev\u00f3 al consenso a descartar recortes de tasas en el corto plazo, reforzando el mensaje de una Reserva Federal (Fed) que se mantendr\u00eda restrictiva por m\u00e1s tiempo\u201d, explic\u00f3 Janneth Quiroz y Roberto Solano, analistas de Monex.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">El peso mexicano, por su parte, present\u00f3 una depreciaci\u00f3n frente al d\u00f3lar de 4.02 por ciento en marzo, su mayor p\u00e9rdida desde agosto de 2024 (5.75 por ciento), siendo de las 10 monedas m\u00e1s d\u00e9biles frente a la moneda estadunidense, para cerrar en 17.9252 unidades por d\u00f3lar\u00a0<i>spot<\/i>. En el primer cuarto de 2026, la divisa mexicana se apreci\u00f3 0.5 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">Y es que el d\u00f3lar se fortaleci\u00f3 durante este \u00faltimo mes. El \u00edndice DXY, que mide el comportamiento de la moneda estadunidense frente a una canasta de seis divisas internacionales, avanz\u00f3 2.18 por ciento en marzo, a 99.70 unidades; mientras que en el acumulado del a\u00f1o subi\u00f3 1.68 por ciento, siendo uno de los activos financieros refugio ante la aversi\u00f3n al riesgo por la guerra.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\">El rendimiento del bono de referencia a 10 a\u00f1os cerr\u00f3 en 4.309 por ciento, su segunda sesi\u00f3n consecutiva de ca\u00eddas. Sin embargo, en marzo, los rendimientos a 10 a\u00f1os han subido de 3.962 por ciento, su mayor alza mensual desde diciembre, en medio del nerviosismo por mayores tasas de inflaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ante los informes de que Ir\u00e1n est\u00e1 dispuesto a poner fin a la guerra, los mercados accionarios en Estados Unidos [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":82490,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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