{"id":82624,"date":"2026-04-06T00:10:15","date_gmt":"2026-04-06T06:10:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=82624"},"modified":"2026-04-05T20:04:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-06T02:04:49","slug":"petroleras-las-unicas-ganadoras-de-la-guerra-en-iran","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/04\/06\/petroleras-las-unicas-ganadoras-de-la-guerra-en-iran\/","title":{"rendered":"Petroleras, las \u00fanicas ganadoras de la guerra en Ir\u00e1n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>En cinco semanas de guerra en Ir\u00e1n, casi ning\u00fan activo accionario se ha librado de las ventas en bolsa, pero como industria s\u00f3lo hay una ganadora: los grandes productores de petr\u00f3leo, dejando muy rezagados el consumo discrecional, industrial, tecnol\u00f3gico y financiero.<\/p>\n<p>Las petroleras se han fortalecido impulsadas por el precio del crudo, que en la guerra contra Ir\u00e1n ha escalado cerca de 60 por ciento, el mayor repunte de su historia. Los beneficiarios son magnates que apoyaron a Donald Trump, seg\u00fan especialistas.<\/p>\n<p>La rentabilidad del\u00a0<i>exchange traded fund<\/i>\u00a0(ETF) de Energy Select \u2013instrumento de inversi\u00f3n que agrupa diversos activos, como acciones, bonos, y materias primas, cotiza en bolsa y permite comprar y vender participaciones en tiempo real, como acciones individuales\u2013 en las \u00faltimas cinco semanas ha sido de 5.76 por ciento, y es el \u00fanico sector que ha repuntado.<\/p>\n<p>El estrecho de Ormuz (la ruta de tr\u00e1nsito m\u00e1s importante del mundo para el petr\u00f3leo crudo y punto vital para la distribuci\u00f3n de 20 por ciento del petr\u00f3leo global y fundamental para el fin de la guerra) est\u00e1 cerrado desde hace m\u00e1s de un mes. El temor al desabasto eleva el precio del petr\u00f3leo y, por ende, el valor de las empresas que lo producen.<\/p>\n<p>Adem\u00e1s, un alza prolongada y fuerte del petr\u00f3leo puede afectar la inflaci\u00f3n y a las tasas de inter\u00e9s m\u00e1s adelante.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Golpe al consumo b\u00e1sico<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Del otro lado de la moneda, el ETF de consumo b\u00e1sico (XLP) cay\u00f3 9.18 por ciento en las \u00faltimas cinco semanas. Las empresas de consumo suelen caer durante una guerra debido a una combinaci\u00f3n de aumento de los costos de producci\u00f3n, interrupci\u00f3n de cadenas de suministro y reducci\u00f3n del gasto de los hogares por la incertidumbre.<\/p>\n<p>En lo que respecta a la industria (XLI), este instrumento ETF ha cedido 7.52 por ciento desde el 27 de febrero. El conflicto desaceler\u00f3 la econom\u00eda manufacturera, lo que afecta tanto la producci\u00f3n industrial como los nuevos pedidos.<\/p>\n<p>En el sector financiero, el ETF (XLF) ha perdido 3.79 por ciento, pues la prolongaci\u00f3n de conflictos aumenta la probabilidad de que empresas y personas no puedan pagar sus pr\u00e9stamos, lo que obliga a los bancos a aumentar sus reservas para p\u00e9rdidas.<\/p>\n<p>A su vez, el ETF de tecnolog\u00eda (XLK) ha retrocedido 2.29 por ciento, por posibles efectos en producci\u00f3n y transporte de componentes electr\u00f3nicos.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>En cinco semanas de guerra en Ir\u00e1n, casi ning\u00fan activo accionario se ha librado de las ventas en bolsa, pero [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":82625,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[2050],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-82624","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economia"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - 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