{"id":82939,"date":"2026-04-11T00:12:40","date_gmt":"2026-04-11T06:12:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=82939"},"modified":"2026-04-10T20:01:41","modified_gmt":"2026-04-11T02:01:41","slug":"guerra-en-medio-oriente-frenara-crecimiento-y-tendra-un-efecto-domino-banco-mundial","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/04\/11\/guerra-en-medio-oriente-frenara-crecimiento-y-tendra-un-efecto-domino-banco-mundial\/","title":{"rendered":"Guerra en Medio Oriente frenar\u00e1 crecimiento y tendr\u00e1 un efecto domin\u00f3: Banco Mundial"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"auto\">La guerra en Medio Oriente tendr\u00e1 un efecto domin\u00f3 en la econom\u00eda global, incluso si se consolida el fr\u00e1gil alto el fuego anunciado esta semana, dijo el viernes el presidente del Banco Mundial, Ajay Banga, en una entrevista con Reuters, quien a\u00f1adi\u00f3 que el da\u00f1o ser\u00e1 mucho mayor si el conflicto recrudece.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">Banga se\u00f1al\u00f3 que el crecimiento mundial podr\u00eda reducirse entre 0.2 y 0.3 puntos porcentuales en un escenario base, con un fin temprano de la guerra, y algo m\u00e1s en los mercados emergentes.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">La inflaci\u00f3n podr\u00eda aumentar hasta 300 puntos b\u00e1sicos (tres puntos porcentuales), con un impacto mucho mayor \u2014de hasta 0.9 puntos porcentuales\u2014 si la guerra contin\u00faa, afirm\u00f3.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">La guerra, que ha dejado miles de muertos en todo Oriente Medio, ha disparado el precio del petr\u00f3leo en un 50 por ciento al tiempo que ha interrumpido el suministro de crudo, gas, fertilizantes, helio y otros productos, as\u00ed como el transporte a\u00e9reo.<\/p>\n<p>El alto el fuego de dos semanas anunciado por Donald Trump parece fr\u00e1gil, ya que Israel e Ir\u00e1n contin\u00faan con los ataques.<\/p>\n<p>Ir\u00e1n declar\u00f3 el viernes que deben liberarse sus activos bloqueados y establecerse un alto el fuego en el L\u00edbano antes de que puedan proseguir las conversaciones entre con Estados Unidos, previstas para el s\u00e1bado en Pakist\u00e1n.<\/p>\n<p>Trump afirm\u00f3 que los buques de guerra estadounidenses se estaban reabasteciendo de munici\u00f3n por si las conversaciones fracasaban.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abLa pregunta es realmente: \u00bfesta paz actual y las negociaciones que van a tener lugar este fin de semana conducir\u00e1n a una paz duradera y, posteriormente, a la reapertura del estrecho (de Ormuz)?\u00bb, dijo Banga.<\/p>\n<p>\u00abSi no conduce a eso, y si el conflicto volviera a estallar, \u00bftendr\u00eda eso un impacto a\u00fan mayor, o un impacto a m\u00e1s largo plazo, en la infraestructura energ\u00e9tica?\u00bb.<\/p>\n<p>Banga se\u00f1al\u00f3 que el BM est\u00e1 en conversaciones con algunos pa\u00edses en desarrollo, incluidos peque\u00f1os Estados insulares sin recursos energ\u00e9ticos naturales, sobre la posibilidad de aprovechar fondos de programas existentes en el marco de \u00abventanas de respuesta a crisis\u00bb.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La guerra en Medio Oriente tendr\u00e1 un efecto domin\u00f3 en la econom\u00eda global, incluso si se consolida el fr\u00e1gil alto [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":82940,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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