{"id":84966,"date":"2026-05-21T00:05:07","date_gmt":"2026-05-21T06:05:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=84966"},"modified":"2026-05-20T22:49:22","modified_gmt":"2026-05-21T04:49:22","slug":"analistas-de-citi-disminuyen-a-1-1-la-proyeccion-de-crecimiento-del-pib-en-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/05\/21\/analistas-de-citi-disminuyen-a-1-1-la-proyeccion-de-crecimiento-del-pib-en-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Analistas de Citi disminuyen a 1.1% la proyecci\u00f3n de crecimiento del PIB en 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">La proyecci\u00f3n mediana de crecimiento del producto interno bruto (PIB) para 2026 que tienen analistas econ\u00f3micos consultados por CIti disminuy\u00f3 a 1.1 por ciento desde el 1.2 por ciento, de acuerdo con la Encuesta de Expectativas de la instituci\u00f3n financiera.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">Esa proyecci\u00f3n tiene un rango de estimaciones que va desde 0.5 por ciento a 1.5 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">Para 2027, los encuestados esperan que el crecimiento del PIB sea del 1.8 por ciento, como en la consulta anterior.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">Por otra parte, la proyecci\u00f3n mediana para la inflaci\u00f3n general a fines de 2026 ahora se ubica en 4.30 por ciento desde el 4.35 por ciento de hace quince d\u00edas; para el componente subyacente, la mediana se mantiene en 4.20 por ciento como en la \u00faltima encuesta.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">Para fines de 2027, la expectativa de inflaci\u00f3n general disminuy\u00f3 a 3.80 por ciento desde el 3.87 por ciento de hace quince d\u00edas; para el componente subyacente, se mantuvo en 3.85 por ciento sin cambios respecto a la \u00faltima encuesta.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">La expectativa mediana para la tasa de inflaci\u00f3n anual promedio en 2028\u201332 es de 3.78 por ciento, un punto base por debajo de la encuesta previa.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">El consenso no espera cambios en la tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria del Banco de M\u00e9xico al menos en 2026 y 2027.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">\u201cLa estimaci\u00f3n mediana no prev\u00e9 ning\u00fan movimiento en la tasa de pol\u00edtica monetaria al menos este a\u00f1o ni el pr\u00f3ximo\u201d, se menciona en la encuesta.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">De los 33 consultados, 25 no esperan ning\u00fan movimiento, mientras que 7 esperan el pr\u00f3ximo movimiento en 2027 (tres alzas frente a cuatro recortes) y uno espera un recorte en diciembre de 2026.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">El pron\u00f3stico mediano para la tasa de pol\u00edtica para fines de 2026 permanece sin cambios en 6.50 por ciento, con estimaciones que van desde 6.50 a 6.25 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">Para fines de 2027, la expectativa mediana es de 6.50 por ciento, con estimaciones que van desde 7.00 a 5.75 por ciento.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">Respecto a las expectativas sobre el peso, se fortalecieron, ya que el consenso espera que el peso se sit\u00fae en 18 pesos por d\u00f3lar para fines de 2026, es decir, 10 centavos por debajo de la encuesta anterior, con expectativas que van desde 17 pesos a 19.03 pesos por d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n<p class=\"nota-justify\" dir=\"ltr\">Para fines de 2027, el consenso espera que se sit\u00fae en 18.58, desde 18.75 hace quince d\u00edas.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>La proyecci\u00f3n mediana de crecimiento del producto interno bruto (PIB) para 2026 que tienen analistas econ\u00f3micos consultados por CIti disminuy\u00f3 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":84967,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center 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