{"id":86382,"date":"2026-07-01T00:10:37","date_gmt":"2026-07-01T06:10:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=86382"},"modified":"2026-06-30T23:25:00","modified_gmt":"2026-07-01T05:25:00","slug":"mayoria-de-bancos-centrales-se-dispone-a-reducir-sus-reservas-en-dolares-segun-encuesta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/07\/01\/mayoria-de-bancos-centrales-se-dispone-a-reducir-sus-reservas-en-dolares-segun-encuesta\/","title":{"rendered":"Mayor\u00eda de bancos centrales se dispone a reducir sus reservas en d\u00f3lares, seg\u00fan encuesta"},"content":{"rendered":"

Son m\u00e1s los bancos centrales del mundo que tienen previsto reducir sus asignaciones en d\u00f3lares que aumentarlas en la pr\u00f3xima d\u00e9cada, a medida que aumentan los riesgos pol\u00edticos asociados a la moneda estadunidense, seg\u00fan una encuesta del OMFIF sobre inversores p\u00fablicos.<\/p>\n

Es la primera vez que la encuesta, realizada por el Foro Oficial de Instituciones Monetarias y Financieras (OMFIF), detecta un cambio de este tipo que se aleja del d\u00f3lar.<\/p>\n

Los resultados coinciden con el debate global sobre el papel del d\u00f3lar estadunidense como principal moneda de reserva, avivado por la incertidumbre pol\u00edtica en EU y el aumento de los riesgos geopol\u00edticos.<\/p>\n

Este laboratorio de ideas con sede en Londres, creado en 2010, tambi\u00e9n constat\u00f3 entre los 90 bancos centrales, fondos de pensiones p\u00fablicos y fondos soberanos encuestados un gran inter\u00e9s por aumentar significativamente el uso de la inteligencia artificial (IA) con respecto a los niveles actuales.<\/p>\n

Los participantes en la encuesta, que en conjunto gestionan unos 10 billones de d\u00f3lares en activos, consideran cada vez m\u00e1s que la volatilidad es una caracter\u00edstica permanente y est\u00e1n probando nuevos enfoques para hacerle frente, incluida la aplicaci\u00f3n de la IA a este problema.
\n\u00abLa antigua suposici\u00f3n de que los inversores p\u00fablicos pueden esperar a que el entorno se normalice parece cada vez m\u00e1s poco realista\u00bb, escribi\u00f3 en el informe Yara Aziz, economista del OMFIF.<\/p>\n

\u00bfUn d\u00f3lar en declive y un oro resplandeciente?<\/h2>\n

No existe una alternativa clara al d\u00f3lar que se ha apreciado un 3 por ciento este a\u00f1o, impulsado por el aumento de las tasas de inter\u00e9s estadunidenses, la demanda de activos estadunidenses y la huida hacia activos refugio desencadenada por la guerra entre EU e Ir\u00e1n.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, alrededor del 79 por ciento de los bancos centrales y el 60 por ciento de los fondos p\u00fablicos consideran que el sistema monetario mundial est\u00e1 en transici\u00f3n hacia un mundo \u00abmultipolar\u00bb.<\/p>\n

Las divisas distintas de las ocho principales est\u00e1n ganando terreno gradualmente entre los activos de reserva. Los bancos centrales han tratado de aumentar sus asignaciones en coronas noruegas y d\u00f3lares neozelandeses, y tambi\u00e9n han incrementado su inter\u00e9s por la libra esterlina.
\nAunque los encuestados tambi\u00e9n mantuvieron su intenci\u00f3n de aumentar sus carteras en euros\u00a0y en renminbi chino, se\u00f1alaron que los retos estructurales frenaban a ambas monedas.<\/p>\n

Aun as\u00ed, casi todos los encuestados consideraban que el yuan era una forma eficaz de diversificar la cartera. El oro, que ha alcanzado una serie de m\u00e1ximos hist\u00f3ricos y que est\u00e1 en poder del 82 por ciento de los bancos centrales, \u00abha pasado a ocupar un lugar central en la estrategia de gesti\u00f3n de las reservas\u00bb, seg\u00fan la encuesta.<\/p>\n

A corto plazo, es el activo en el que los bancos centrales tienen m\u00e1s previsto aumentar sus carteras, con un 30 por ciento neto de los encuestados que tiene la intenci\u00f3n de incrementar su asignaci\u00f3n en los pr\u00f3ximos uno o dos a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Son m\u00e1s los bancos centrales del mundo que tienen previsto reducir sus asignaciones en d\u00f3lares que aumentarlas en la pr\u00f3xima 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