{"id":89922,"date":"2026-11-04T10:57:51","date_gmt":"2026-11-04T16:57:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/?p=89922"},"modified":"2026-11-04T23:01:18","modified_gmt":"2026-11-05T05:01:18","slug":"trump-derrota-sin-rendicion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/11\/04\/trump-derrota-sin-rendicion\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump: derrota sin rendici\u00f3n"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong>Astrolabio Pol\u00edtico<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong>Por: Luis Ram\u00edrez Baqueiro<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><em>\u201cLa pol\u00edtica es el arte de lo posible.\u201d \u2014 Otto von Bismarck.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">La contundente derrota republicana en las elecciones intermedias estadounidenses del pasado 3 de noviembre representa mucho m\u00e1s que un rev\u00e9s electoral para Donald Trump. Es una advertencia pol\u00edtica que modifica los equilibrios de poder en Washington, pero que no necesariamente significa el debilitamiento de sus pol\u00edticas m\u00e1s agresivas hacia M\u00e9xico.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Los dem\u00f3cratas consiguieron recuperar ambas c\u00e1maras del Congreso, arrebat\u00e1ndole al mandatario el control legislativo que facilitaba su agenda. Sin embargo, Trump conserva una herramienta formidable: el veto presidencial, que solamente puede superarse mediante mayor\u00edas de dos tercios en ambas c\u00e1maras.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u00bfQui\u00e9n gana y qui\u00e9n pierde? Los dem\u00f3cratas recuperan capacidad de fiscalizaci\u00f3n, control presupuestal y contrapeso institucional. Trump pierde margen legislativo, pero conserva amplias facultades ejecutivas, especialmente en materia migratoria y comercial, aunque sujetas a l\u00edmites legales y judiciales.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Para M\u00e9xico, el escenario resulta particularmente complejo. La presidenta Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo enfrentar\u00e1 a un mandatario pol\u00edticamente golpeado que podr\u00eda endurecer su discurso nacionalista para recuperar simpat\u00edas entre sus electores.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Los aranceles, las amenazas comerciales y la revisi\u00f3n del T-MEC continuar\u00e1n siendo instrumentos de negociaci\u00f3n y presi\u00f3n. La persecuci\u00f3n migratoria mediante el ICE tampoco desaparecer\u00e1 por una derrota congresional.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u00bfY Veracruz?<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Aqu\u00ed las consecuencias podr\u00edan sentirse directamente en dos sectores fundamentales: ganader\u00eda y migraci\u00f3n.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Las restricciones estadounidenses al ingreso de ganado mexicano por el gusano barrenador han golpeado las expectativas comerciales del sector pecuario. Aunque Washington inici\u00f3 una reapertura gradual de cruces fronterizos, persisten controles sanitarios que obligan a Veracruz a fortalecer vigilancia, certificaci\u00f3n y trazabilidad. No puede confundirse una restricci\u00f3n sanitaria al ganado vivo con una prohibici\u00f3n general a toda la carne veracruzana.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">En materia migratoria, el panorama tampoco resulta alentador. BBVA Research document\u00f3 11 mil 680 devoluciones de personas originarias de Veracruz entre febrero de 2025 y febrero de 2026. Cada deportaci\u00f3n puede representar una familia separada y una fuente de ingresos comprometida.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">A ello se suma el impuesto estadounidense del 1% a determinadas remesas enviadas mediante efectivo e instrumentos similares, vigente desde enero de 2026. Un gravamen que podr\u00eda agravarse mediante futuras modificaciones legislativas, aunque estas enfrentar\u00edan nuevos contrapesos.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Frente a semejante escenario, adquieren relevancia los esfuerzos de la gobernadora Roc\u00edo Nahle Garc\u00eda por diversificar mercados, atraer inversiones estadounidenses, europeas y asi\u00e1ticas, fortalecer la infraestructura portuaria y posicionar a Veracruz como plataforma energ\u00e9tica, industrial y log\u00edstica.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">La estrategia Puerta Este y la promoci\u00f3n internacional constituyen apuestas importantes, pero deber\u00e1n traducirse en inversiones concretas, empleos y oportunidades para productores locales.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Porque ser\u00eda ingenuo suponer que un Trump derrotado electoralmente ser\u00e1 necesariamente menos agresivo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">La verdadera victoria mexicana no estar\u00e1 en las derrotas republicanas, sino en construir una econom\u00eda suficientemente s\u00f3lida para resistir sus amenazas.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Y Veracruz tiene recursos, posici\u00f3n geogr\u00e1fica y potencial para conseguirlo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\">Al tiempo.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><em><a href=\"mailto:astrolabiopoliticomx@gmail.com\">astrolabiopoliticomx@gmail.com<\/a><\/em><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"font-weight: 400;\"><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; font-family: tahoma, arial, helvetica, sans-serif;\"><em>\u201cX\u201d antes Twitter: @LuisBaqueiro_mx<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Astrolabio Pol\u00edtico Por: Luis Ram\u00edrez Baqueiro \u201cLa pol\u00edtica es el arte de lo posible.\u201d \u2014 Otto von Bismarck. La contundente [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":89923,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_feature_clip_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2},"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false},"categories":[26],"tags":[3560,3559],"class_list":["post-89922","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-columnistas","tag-astrolabio-politico","tag-luis-ramirez-baqueiro"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trump: derrota sin rendici\u00f3n - Pol\u00edticos al Desnudo<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/politicosaldesnudo.com.mx\/index.php\/2026\/11\/04\/trump-derrota-sin-rendicion\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump: derrota sin rendici\u00f3n - Pol\u00edticos al Desnudo\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Astrolabio Pol\u00edtico Por: Luis Ram\u00edrez Baqueiro \u201cLa pol\u00edtica es el arte de lo posible.\u201d \u2014 Otto von Bismarck. 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